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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Berkeley0.50+2.32vs Predicted
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2University of California at San Diego-0.73+4.85vs Predicted
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3University of California at Berkeley-1.67+7.22vs Predicted
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4University of California at Los Angeles0.11+0.44vs Predicted
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5University of California at Los Angeles-0.94+2.66vs Predicted
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6University of California at San Diego-0.75+1.06vs Predicted
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7Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.28+1.92vs Predicted
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8Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.56+1.73vs Predicted
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9University of California at San Diego-1.19-0.56vs Predicted
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10Arizona State University-1.64+0.22vs Predicted
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11University of California at Davis-1.76-0.49vs Predicted
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12University of California at San Diego-1.21-3.39vs Predicted
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13Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.74-2.57vs Predicted
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14Santa Clara University-0.65-7.49vs Predicted
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15Arizona State University-1.64-4.78vs Predicted
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16University of California at Santa Barbara-2.52-2.98vs Predicted
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17University of California at Irvine-1.59-6.95vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.32University of California at Berkeley0.500.3%1st Place
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6.85University of California at San Diego-0.730.1%1st Place
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10.22University of California at Berkeley-1.670.0%1st Place
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4.44University of California at Los Angeles0.110.2%1st Place
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7.66University of California at Los Angeles-0.940.1%1st Place
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7.06University of California at San Diego-0.750.1%1st Place
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8.92Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.280.1%1st Place
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9.73Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.560.0%1st Place
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8.44University of California at San Diego-1.190.0%1st Place
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10.22Arizona State University-1.640.0%1st Place
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10.51University of California at Davis-1.760.0%1st Place
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8.61University of California at San Diego-1.210.0%1st Place
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10.43Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.740.0%1st Place
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6.51Santa Clara University-0.650.1%1st Place
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10.22Arizona State University-1.640.0%1st Place
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13.02University of California at Santa Barbara-2.520.0%1st Place
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10.05University of California at Irvine-1.590.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Augustus Doricko | 25.7% | 21.0% | 16.6% | 10.6% | 8.8% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Fisher Price | 7.4% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Broadley | 3.3% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 10.1% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 0.0% |
| Cassandra Shand | 15.6% | 15.4% | 12.7% | 13.1% | 11.1% | 9.7% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Garcia | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Canyon Breyer | 6.2% | 6.1% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 9.5% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Jack Johnson | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Dryer | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 5.8% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Davis | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 0.0% |
| Haley Nadone | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 10.0% | 9.9% | 8.5% | 11.7% | 9.2% | 6.7% | 0.0% |
| Grace Chitouras | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 10.4% | 12.4% | 9.8% | 0.0% |
| Warren Ko | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 3.5% | 0.0% |
| Jeffrey Romeo | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 8.4% | 11.7% | 9.7% | 0.0% |
| Peter Collins | 7.5% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 7.9% | 9.9% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Haley Nadone | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 10.0% | 9.9% | 8.5% | 11.7% | 9.2% | 6.7% | 0.0% |
| Jonathan Trinh | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 15.0% | 38.6% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Myers | 2.4% | 2.4% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 9.9% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 7.1% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.