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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Los Angeles0.11+3.68vs Predicted
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2University of California at San Diego-0.73+5.50vs Predicted
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3University of California at Los Angeles-0.94+5.42vs Predicted
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4Santa Clara University-0.65+3.37vs Predicted
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5University of California at Berkeley0.50-1.28vs Predicted
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6Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.56+5.01vs Predicted
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7University of California at San Diego-0.75+0.68vs Predicted
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8University of California at Berkeley-1.67+2.98vs Predicted
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9University of California at San Diego-1.21+0.60vs Predicted
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10University of California at Santa Cruz-0.44-3.48vs Predicted
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11Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.28-1.17vs Predicted
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12University of California at San Diego-1.19-2.72vs Predicted
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13Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.74-1.45vs Predicted
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14University of California at Davis-1.03-5.12vs Predicted
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15Arizona State University-1.64-3.96vs Predicted
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16University of California at Irvine-1.59-5.06vs Predicted
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17Arizona State University-1.64-5.96vs Predicted
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18University of California at Santa Barbara-2.52-4.01vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.68University of California at Los Angeles0.110.2%1st Place
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7.5University of California at San Diego-0.730.1%1st Place
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8.42University of California at Los Angeles-0.940.1%1st Place
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7.37Santa Clara University-0.650.1%1st Place
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3.72University of California at Berkeley0.500.2%1st Place
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11.01Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.560.0%1st Place
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7.68University of California at San Diego-0.750.1%1st Place
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10.98University of California at Berkeley-1.670.0%1st Place
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9.6University of California at San Diego-1.210.0%1st Place
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6.52University of California at Santa Cruz-0.440.1%1st Place
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9.83Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.280.0%1st Place
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9.28University of California at San Diego-1.190.0%1st Place
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11.55Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.740.0%1st Place
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8.88University of California at Davis-1.030.0%1st Place
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11.04Arizona State University-1.640.0%1st Place
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10.94University of California at Irvine-1.590.0%1st Place
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11.04Arizona State University-1.640.0%1st Place
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13.99University of California at Santa Barbara-2.520.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cassandra Shand | 16.3% | 14.2% | 12.6% | 11.5% | 10.1% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Fisher Price | 6.2% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Garcia | 5.1% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Peter Collins | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Augustus Doricko | 22.8% | 19.1% | 15.9% | 11.4% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Dryer | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 8.3% | 0.0% |
| Canyon Breyer | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 6.1% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Broadley | 3.0% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 10.5% | 8.1% | 11.0% | 10.1% | 0.0% |
| Warren Ko | 3.6% | 2.8% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 2.8% | 0.0% |
| Dylan Yong | 8.0% | 8.2% | 9.9% | 10.0% | 9.5% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Jack Johnson | 3.9% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 6.6% | 3.7% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Davis | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 8.3% | 5.1% | 9.1% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 4.6% | 2.4% | 0.0% |
| Jeffrey Romeo | 2.5% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 9.9% | 9.5% | 12.7% | 11.3% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Puts | 3.9% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Haley Nadone | 2.3% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 10.0% | 11.1% | 9.3% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Myers | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 9.5% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 7.9% | 0.0% |
| Haley Nadone | 2.3% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 10.0% | 11.1% | 9.3% | 0.0% |
| Jonathan Trinh | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 15.1% | 39.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.