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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at San Diego-0.73+5.65vs Predicted
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2University of California at Los Angeles-0.94+5.39vs Predicted
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3University of California at Berkeley0.50+0.33vs Predicted
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4Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.28+4.88vs Predicted
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5University of California at San Diego-0.75+1.85vs Predicted
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6University of California at San Diego-1.19+2.49vs Predicted
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7Santa Clara University-0.65-0.39vs Predicted
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8Arizona State University-2.26+3.92vs Predicted
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9Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.74+1.25vs Predicted
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10University of California at Irvine-1.59-0.17vs Predicted
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11University of California at Los Angeles0.11-6.73vs Predicted
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12University of California at Davis-1.76-1.60vs Predicted
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13University of California at San Diego-1.21-4.55vs Predicted
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14University of California at Santa Barbara-2.52-1.34vs Predicted
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15University of California at Berkeley-1.67-4.78vs Predicted
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16Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.56-6.22vs Predicted
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17Arizona State University-2.26-5.08vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.65University of California at San Diego-0.730.1%1st Place
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7.39University of California at Los Angeles-0.940.1%1st Place
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3.33University of California at Berkeley0.500.3%1st Place
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8.88Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.280.0%1st Place
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6.85University of California at San Diego-0.750.1%1st Place
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8.49University of California at San Diego-1.190.0%1st Place
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6.61Santa Clara University-0.650.1%1st Place
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11.92Arizona State University-2.260.0%1st Place
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10.25Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.740.0%1st Place
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9.83University of California at Irvine-1.590.0%1st Place
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4.27University of California at Los Angeles0.110.2%1st Place
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10.4University of California at Davis-1.760.0%1st Place
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8.45University of California at San Diego-1.210.0%1st Place
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12.66University of California at Santa Barbara-2.520.0%1st Place
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10.22University of California at Berkeley-1.670.0%1st Place
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9.78Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.560.0%1st Place
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11.92Arizona State University-2.260.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fisher Price | 7.2% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 10.2% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Garcia | 5.6% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Augustus Doricko | 25.1% | 20.2% | 15.7% | 13.1% | 10.0% | 6.9% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Johnson | 3.2% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 2.6% | 0.0% |
| Canyon Breyer | 7.1% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 10.9% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Davis | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 8.9% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 0.0% |
| Peter Collins | 8.5% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Emelia Dolson | 1.3% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 11.1% | 16.6% | 21.8% | 0.0% |
| Jeffrey Romeo | 3.1% | 2.2% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 10.5% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Myers | 3.6% | 2.8% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 11.7% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 0.0% |
| Cassandra Shand | 18.9% | 15.1% | 12.9% | 11.4% | 12.1% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Grace Chitouras | 2.6% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 9.9% | 10.8% | 10.2% | 0.0% |
| Warren Ko | 3.1% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 2.0% | 0.0% |
| Jonathan Trinh | 1.4% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 9.8% | 17.1% | 30.3% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Broadley | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 11.4% | 9.5% | 6.9% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Dryer | 2.4% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 10.4% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 0.0% |
| Emelia Dolson | 1.3% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 11.1% | 16.6% | 21.8% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.