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📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Cruz-0.44+4.75vs Predicted
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2University of California at Berkeley0.50+1.43vs Predicted
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3University of California at San Diego-0.73+3.80vs Predicted
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4University of California at Los Angeles-0.94+3.68vs Predicted
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5University of California at Los Angeles0.11-0.68vs Predicted
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6University of California at San Diego-1.21+2.58vs Predicted
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7University of California at San Diego-0.75-0.03vs Predicted
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8Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.28+0.66vs Predicted
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9Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.56+0.73vs Predicted
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10Arizona State University-2.26+2.14vs Predicted
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11University of California at Santa Barbara-2.52+1.68vs Predicted
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12Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.74-1.67vs Predicted
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13University of California at Berkeley-1.67-2.90vs Predicted
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14Arizona State University-2.26-1.86vs Predicted
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15University of California at Davis-1.76-4.67vs Predicted
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16University of California at San Diego-1.19-7.45vs Predicted
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17University of California at Irvine-1.59-7.04vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.75University of California at Santa Cruz-0.440.1%1st Place
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3.43University of California at Berkeley0.500.3%1st Place
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6.8University of California at San Diego-0.730.1%1st Place
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7.68University of California at Los Angeles-0.940.0%1st Place
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4.32University of California at Los Angeles0.110.2%1st Place
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8.58University of California at San Diego-1.210.0%1st Place
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6.97University of California at San Diego-0.750.1%1st Place
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8.66Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.280.0%1st Place
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9.73Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.560.0%1st Place
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12.14Arizona State University-2.260.0%1st Place
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12.68University of California at Santa Barbara-2.520.0%1st Place
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10.33Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.740.0%1st Place
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10.1University of California at Berkeley-1.670.0%1st Place
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12.14Arizona State University-2.260.0%1st Place
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10.33University of California at Davis-1.760.0%1st Place
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8.55University of California at San Diego-1.190.0%1st Place
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9.96University of California at Irvine-1.590.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dylan Yong | 9.6% | 11.8% | 9.3% | 10.9% | 11.8% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Augustus Doricko | 25.3% | 19.5% | 17.0% | 10.6% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Fisher Price | 6.8% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 10.1% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Garcia | 4.5% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Cassandra Shand | 15.4% | 16.9% | 14.3% | 11.6% | 11.4% | 9.8% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Warren Ko | 3.8% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 2.4% | 0.0% |
| Canyon Breyer | 8.3% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Jack Johnson | 4.1% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 2.4% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Dryer | 3.4% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 10.2% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 0.0% |
| Emelia Dolson | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 9.5% | 12.8% | 17.3% | 21.5% | 0.0% |
| Jonathan Trinh | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 6.5% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 15.0% | 33.8% | 0.0% |
| Jeffrey Romeo | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 11.2% | 8.8% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Broadley | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 0.0% |
| Emelia Dolson | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 9.5% | 12.8% | 17.3% | 21.5% | 0.0% |
| Grace Chitouras | 3.0% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 5.1% | 2.6% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 11.2% | 7.7% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Davis | 4.7% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 4.4% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Myers | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 10.1% | 7.7% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 5.8% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.