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📊 Prediction Accuracy
36.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.61+3.95vs Predicted
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2University of California at Los Angeles0.92+5.10vs Predicted
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3University of California at Berkeley1.66+1.90vs Predicted
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4California State University Channel Islands0.15+5.91vs Predicted
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5University of California at Los Angeles0.61+3.14vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Barbara0.82+1.73vs Predicted
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7University of California at Santa Barbara0.58+1.38vs Predicted
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8California State University Channel Islands0.15+1.91vs Predicted
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9University of California at Berkeley1.78-4.49vs Predicted
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10Santa Clara University0.21-0.25vs Predicted
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11California Poly Maritime Academy2.08-7.19vs Predicted
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12University of California at Davis-0.19-0.77vs Predicted
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13University of California at San Diego-1.35+1.47vs Predicted
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14San Diego State University-0.29-2.49vs Predicted
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15University of California at San Diego-0.45-2.91vs Predicted
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16Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.60-3.63vs Predicted
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17San Diego State University-0.25-5.62vs Predicted
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18University of California at Irvine-0.09-7.22vs Predicted
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19California State University Channel Islands0.15-9.09vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.95Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.610.1%1st Place
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7.1University of California at Los Angeles0.920.1%1st Place
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4.9University of California at Berkeley1.660.1%1st Place
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9.91California State University Channel Islands0.150.0%1st Place
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8.14University of California at Los Angeles0.610.0%1st Place
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7.73University of California at Santa Barbara0.820.0%1st Place
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8.38University of California at Santa Barbara0.580.0%1st Place
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9.91California State University Channel Islands0.150.0%1st Place
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4.51University of California at Berkeley1.780.2%1st Place
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9.75Santa Clara University0.210.0%1st Place
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3.81California Poly Maritime Academy2.080.2%1st Place
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11.23University of California at Davis-0.190.0%1st Place
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14.47University of California at San Diego-1.350.0%1st Place
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11.51San Diego State University-0.290.0%1st Place
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12.09University of California at San Diego-0.450.0%1st Place
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12.37Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.600.0%1st Place
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11.38San Diego State University-0.250.0%1st Place
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10.78University of California at Irvine-0.090.0%1st Place
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9.91California State University Channel Islands0.150.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ben Brough | 14.2% | 12.3% | 11.5% | 10.7% | 11.4% | 10.6% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Leah Ford | 6.4% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 10.5% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Drake Hayes | 12.8% | 13.9% | 12.8% | 11.5% | 10.2% | 10.1% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Clements | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 6.1% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 10.8% | 7.5% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 3.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Lenz Lenz | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tristan Richmond | 4.9% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 10.7% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Margot Mason | 4.5% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Clements | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 6.1% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 10.8% | 7.5% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 3.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Holden Payne | 15.9% | 16.3% | 11.0% | 12.2% | 12.3% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Robbie Culkin | 2.4% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 6.5% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Fisker-Andersen | 20.4% | 16.6% | 15.6% | 12.8% | 11.3% | 8.7% | 6.1% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Letchinger | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 9.0% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 10.8% | 10.1% | 11.1% | 5.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Bittner | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 6.3% | 9.7% | 14.6% | 43.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Erik Hallback | 1.6% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 10.3% | 11.2% | 10.5% | 10.1% | 7.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Casey Bowers-Loeffler | 1.1% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 10.1% | 13.4% | 15.2% | 9.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mitchell Carroll | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 12.0% | 15.6% | 13.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gillian Dean | 2.0% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 10.8% | 6.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Drake Baldwin | 2.1% | 1.6% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Clements | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 6.1% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 10.8% | 7.5% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 3.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.