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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Berkeley0.60+6.27vs Predicted
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2California State University Channel Islands-0.97+9.58vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara1.95+0.72vs Predicted
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4University of California at Berkeley1.48+0.98vs Predicted
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5University of California at Los Angeles0.52+2.65vs Predicted
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6San Diego State University-0.87+5.51vs Predicted
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7Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.45-2.03vs Predicted
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8University of California at San Diego1.45-2.90vs Predicted
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9University of California at Irvine-0.71+2.18vs Predicted
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10University of California at Los Angeles-0.10-0.44vs Predicted
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11University of California at Davis0.13-2.12vs Predicted
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12California State University Channel Islands-0.97-0.42vs Predicted
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13Santa Clara University-0.44-2.31vs Predicted
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14University of California at Santa Barbara1.34-8.50vs Predicted
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15California Poly Maritime Academy1.51-10.15vs Predicted
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16Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.35-3.44vs Predicted
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17California State University Channel Islands-0.97-5.42vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.27University of California at Berkeley0.600.1%1st Place
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11.58California State University Channel Islands-0.970.0%1st Place
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3.72University of California at Santa Barbara1.950.2%1st Place
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4.98University of California at Berkeley1.480.1%1st Place
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7.65University of California at Los Angeles0.520.1%1st Place
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11.51San Diego State University-0.870.0%1st Place
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4.97Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.450.1%1st Place
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5.1University of California at San Diego1.450.1%1st Place
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11.18University of California at Irvine-0.710.0%1st Place
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9.56University of California at Los Angeles-0.100.0%1st Place
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8.88University of California at Davis0.130.0%1st Place
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11.58California State University Channel Islands-0.970.0%1st Place
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10.69Santa Clara University-0.440.0%1st Place
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5.5University of California at Santa Barbara1.340.1%1st Place
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4.85California Poly Maritime Academy1.510.1%1st Place
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12.56Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.350.0%1st Place
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11.58California State University Channel Islands-0.970.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EVAN TWIGG-SMITH | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 11.0% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Gates | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 10.1% | 11.1% | 15.2% | 15.4% | 20.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jake Zieba | 20.5% | 17.0% | 15.1% | 14.4% | 11.0% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Hansen | 11.7% | 13.9% | 12.7% | 11.2% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Abraham Dearden | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 10.9% | 12.2% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charlotte Hinman | 1.0% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 12.2% | 15.7% | 16.5% | 17.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Liam Hood | 11.7% | 11.9% | 11.6% | 12.6% | 12.2% | 11.2% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Dorn | 12.3% | 11.1% | 12.0% | 10.3% | 10.9% | 10.9% | 10.7% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Parker Kulavic | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 9.1% | 10.4% | 12.6% | 15.1% | 17.1% | 11.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Maddy Kuhn | 3.2% | 1.5% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 12.0% | 13.6% | 10.7% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 3.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jayden Potter | 2.7% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 8.8% | 10.9% | 8.9% | 11.2% | 11.7% | 8.5% | 5.1% | 2.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Gates | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 10.1% | 11.1% | 15.2% | 15.4% | 20.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Allison Glover | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 6.0% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 10.7% | 14.1% | 14.1% | 12.3% | 9.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Politi | 9.3% | 10.6% | 9.0% | 11.9% | 11.1% | 10.7% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nolan Van Dine | 12.2% | 12.9% | 14.1% | 11.1% | 10.6% | 9.9% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sebastien Danthinne | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 9.4% | 11.7% | 19.0% | 35.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Gates | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 10.1% | 11.1% | 15.2% | 15.4% | 20.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.