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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1California State University Channel Islands-0.64+9.89vs Predicted
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2University of California at Berkeley1.48+2.86vs Predicted
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3Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.45+1.98vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Barbara1.34+1.34vs Predicted
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5University of California at Los Angeles0.52+2.79vs Predicted
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6University of California at Berkeley0.60+1.56vs Predicted
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7California Poly Maritime Academy1.51-2.14vs Predicted
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8University of California at Los Angeles-0.10+1.61vs Predicted
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9University of California at San Diego1.45-4.01vs Predicted
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10University of California at Santa Barbara1.95-6.10vs Predicted
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11Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.35+1.66vs Predicted
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12University of California at Irvine-0.71-0.52vs Predicted
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13Santa Clara University-0.44-2.30vs Predicted
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14San Diego State University-0.87-2.44vs Predicted
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15California State University Channel Islands-0.64-4.11vs Predicted
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17California State University Channel Islands-0.64-6.11vs Predicted
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18University of California at Davis0.13-9.16vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.89California State University Channel Islands-0.640.0%1st Place
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4.86University of California at Berkeley1.480.1%1st Place
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4.98Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.450.1%1st Place
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5.34University of California at Santa Barbara1.340.1%1st Place
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7.79University of California at Los Angeles0.520.0%1st Place
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7.56University of California at Berkeley0.600.0%1st Place
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4.86California Poly Maritime Academy1.510.1%1st Place
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9.61University of California at Los Angeles-0.100.0%1st Place
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4.99University of California at San Diego1.450.1%1st Place
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3.9University of California at Santa Barbara1.950.2%1st Place
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12.66Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.350.0%1st Place
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11.48University of California at Irvine-0.710.0%1st Place
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10.7Santa Clara University-0.440.0%1st Place
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11.56San Diego State University-0.870.0%1st Place
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10.89California State University Channel Islands-0.640.0%1st Place
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10.89California State University Channel Islands-0.640.0%1st Place
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8.84University of California at Davis0.130.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Laura Jones | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 10.2% | 9.9% | 12.1% | 17.4% | 13.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Hansen | 12.7% | 12.6% | 13.8% | 10.5% | 12.1% | 10.2% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Liam Hood | 11.1% | 13.8% | 11.1% | 10.6% | 13.0% | 9.2% | 10.5% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Politi | 11.2% | 10.5% | 11.5% | 11.1% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 11.5% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Abraham Dearden | 4.3% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 11.9% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 4.9% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| EVAN TWIGG-SMITH | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 11.3% | 10.6% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 7.1% | 3.5% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nolan Van Dine | 13.4% | 11.0% | 11.9% | 13.9% | 12.3% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Maddy Kuhn | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 11.2% | 11.2% | 13.3% | 11.9% | 7.7% | 3.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Dorn | 12.4% | 11.6% | 11.7% | 10.7% | 11.6% | 11.9% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 4.2% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jake Zieba | 17.7% | 18.3% | 14.7% | 13.1% | 11.5% | 9.4% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sebastien Danthinne | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 8.4% | 11.1% | 17.9% | 37.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Parker Kulavic | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 10.0% | 11.9% | 15.7% | 16.8% | 15.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Allison Glover | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 11.7% | 14.0% | 15.2% | 12.0% | 9.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charlotte Hinman | 1.2% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 11.5% | 14.9% | 18.6% | 17.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Laura Jones | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 10.2% | 9.9% | 12.1% | 17.4% | 13.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Laura Jones | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 10.2% | 9.9% | 12.1% | 17.4% | 13.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jayden Potter | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 13.2% | 10.9% | 8.9% | 5.3% | 1.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.