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📊 Prediction Accuracy
21.1%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1California State University Channel Islands-0.64+10.82vs Predicted
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2California Poly Maritime Academy1.51+3.16vs Predicted
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3University of California at San Diego1.45+2.37vs Predicted
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4University of California at Berkeley1.48+1.28vs Predicted
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5California State University Channel Islands-0.64+6.82vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Barbara1.95-2.05vs Predicted
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7University of California at Santa Cruz0.34+2.12vs Predicted
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8University of California at Berkeley0.60+0.04vs Predicted
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9Santa Clara University-0.44+2.29vs Predicted
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10Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.45-4.54vs Predicted
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12University of California at Santa Cruz-1.25+1.85vs Predicted
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13University of California at Los Angeles0.52-4.60vs Predicted
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14University of California at Santa Barbara1.34-8.35vs Predicted
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15Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.35-0.87vs Predicted
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16University of California at Los Angeles-0.10-5.43vs Predicted
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17California State University Channel Islands-0.64-5.18vs Predicted
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18University of California at Davis0.13-8.36vs Predicted
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19University of California at Irvine-0.71-6.59vs Predicted
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20San Diego State University-0.87-7.14vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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11.82California State University Channel Islands-0.640.0%1st Place
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5.16California Poly Maritime Academy1.510.1%1st Place
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5.37University of California at San Diego1.450.1%1st Place
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5.28University of California at Berkeley1.480.1%1st Place
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11.82California State University Channel Islands-0.640.0%1st Place
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3.95University of California at Santa Barbara1.950.2%1st Place
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9.12University of California at Santa Cruz0.340.0%1st Place
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8.04University of California at Berkeley0.600.1%1st Place
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11.29Santa Clara University-0.440.0%1st Place
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5.46Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.450.1%1st Place
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13.85University of California at Santa Cruz-1.250.0%1st Place
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8.4University of California at Los Angeles0.520.0%1st Place
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5.65University of California at Santa Barbara1.340.1%1st Place
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14.13Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.350.0%1st Place
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10.57University of California at Los Angeles-0.100.0%1st Place
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11.82California State University Channel Islands-0.640.0%1st Place
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9.64University of California at Davis0.130.0%1st Place
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12.41University of California at Irvine-0.710.0%1st Place
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12.86San Diego State University-0.870.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Laura Jones | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 11.6% | 11.8% | 12.1% | 8.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nolan Van Dine | 13.1% | 11.4% | 10.0% | 12.0% | 11.1% | 10.6% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Dorn | 10.3% | 11.5% | 11.3% | 11.4% | 10.1% | 10.0% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Hansen | 12.0% | 13.5% | 8.8% | 10.8% | 10.5% | 9.5% | 9.9% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Laura Jones | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 11.6% | 11.8% | 12.1% | 8.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jake Zieba | 20.5% | 16.7% | 15.2% | 12.0% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Keelin Davis | 3.2% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 4.8% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| EVAN TWIGG-SMITH | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 10.7% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Allison Glover | 2.8% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 11.3% | 9.1% | 11.2% | 10.2% | 5.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Liam Hood | 8.7% | 10.5% | 13.5% | 10.9% | 10.8% | 9.3% | 10.3% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sofia Mack | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 10.6% | 13.3% | 18.1% | 24.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Abraham Dearden | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Politi | 9.6% | 10.8% | 11.3% | 11.4% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sebastien Danthinne | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 6.1% | 11.0% | 11.3% | 18.5% | 32.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Maddy Kuhn | 1.8% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 10.4% | 9.7% | 10.9% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 5.1% | 2.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Laura Jones | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 11.6% | 11.8% | 12.1% | 8.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jayden Potter | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 1.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Parker Kulavic | 1.3% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 8.8% | 10.8% | 12.2% | 12.2% | 13.4% | 9.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charlotte Hinman | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 14.2% | 14.7% | 15.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.