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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1California State University Channel Islands-0.97+10.57vs Predicted
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2University of California at San Diego1.45+2.88vs Predicted
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3University of California at Berkeley1.48+1.88vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Barbara1.34+1.29vs Predicted
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5Santa Clara University-0.44+5.49vs Predicted
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6University of California at Davis0.13+2.88vs Predicted
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7University of California at Los Angeles-0.10+2.42vs Predicted
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8University of California at Santa Barbara1.95-4.17vs Predicted
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9University of California at Los Angeles0.52-1.36vs Predicted
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10California Poly Maritime Academy1.51-5.05vs Predicted
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11California State University Channel Islands-0.97+0.57vs Predicted
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12Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.45-6.87vs Predicted
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14University of California at Berkeley0.60-6.34vs Predicted
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15University of California at Irvine-0.71-3.71vs Predicted
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16San Diego State University-0.87-4.47vs Predicted
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17Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.35-4.45vs Predicted
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18California State University Channel Islands-0.97-6.43vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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11.57California State University Channel Islands-0.970.0%1st Place
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4.88University of California at San Diego1.450.1%1st Place
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4.88University of California at Berkeley1.480.1%1st Place
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5.29University of California at Santa Barbara1.340.1%1st Place
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10.49Santa Clara University-0.440.0%1st Place
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8.88University of California at Davis0.130.0%1st Place
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9.42University of California at Los Angeles-0.100.0%1st Place
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3.83University of California at Santa Barbara1.950.2%1st Place
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7.64University of California at Los Angeles0.520.0%1st Place
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4.95California Poly Maritime Academy1.510.1%1st Place
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11.57California State University Channel Islands-0.970.0%1st Place
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5.13Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.450.1%1st Place
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7.66University of California at Berkeley0.600.0%1st Place
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11.29University of California at Irvine-0.710.0%1st Place
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11.53San Diego State University-0.870.0%1st Place
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12.55Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.350.0%1st Place
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11.57California State University Channel Islands-0.970.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Gates | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 9.0% | 10.7% | 12.6% | 18.5% | 20.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Dorn | 12.9% | 13.1% | 12.4% | 11.0% | 10.7% | 10.4% | 10.1% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Hansen | 12.4% | 12.9% | 12.3% | 9.3% | 12.2% | 12.3% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Politi | 11.1% | 10.5% | 12.3% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 10.7% | 10.6% | 9.1% | 6.9% | 4.4% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Allison Glover | 1.6% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 10.2% | 14.9% | 14.2% | 13.0% | 8.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jayden Potter | 3.4% | 2.7% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 12.4% | 13.0% | 11.1% | 8.5% | 5.2% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Maddy Kuhn | 3.0% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 9.6% | 13.1% | 12.3% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 7.6% | 4.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jake Zieba | 20.5% | 16.4% | 15.5% | 12.7% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Abraham Dearden | 3.7% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 11.1% | 9.9% | 9.6% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nolan Van Dine | 11.9% | 11.5% | 11.8% | 12.5% | 12.9% | 10.7% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Gates | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 9.0% | 10.7% | 12.6% | 18.5% | 20.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Liam Hood | 12.4% | 12.2% | 10.5% | 12.7% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| EVAN TWIGG-SMITH | 3.7% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 10.4% | 11.9% | 11.2% | 9.9% | 6.3% | 4.1% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Parker Kulavic | 0.6% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 9.3% | 14.0% | 14.0% | 17.2% | 14.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charlotte Hinman | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 9.4% | 10.9% | 16.3% | 17.6% | 16.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sebastien Danthinne | 0.4% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 9.4% | 13.1% | 17.7% | 34.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Gates | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 9.0% | 10.7% | 12.6% | 18.5% | 20.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.