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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.17+3.76vs Predicted
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2Tufts University1.01+6.99vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University1.97+2.70vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.85+5.30vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University0.49+5.85vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College1.84-0.07vs Predicted
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7Brown University1.85-0.13vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont0.24+3.60vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.81-1.33vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University1.22-0.92vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College1.71-5.21vs Predicted
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12Boston University-0.48+1.54vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.75-2.43vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island0.12-2.41vs Predicted
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15Boston College-0.06-2.71vs Predicted
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16U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.32-5.38vs Predicted
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17Tufts University1.15-9.17vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.76Harvard University2.1716.4%1st Place
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8.99Tufts University1.014.6%1st Place
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5.7Roger Williams University1.9711.7%1st Place
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9.3U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.854.0%1st Place
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10.85Roger Williams University0.492.9%1st Place
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5.93Bowdoin College1.8410.2%1st Place
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6.87Brown University1.858.3%1st Place
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11.6University of Vermont0.242.4%1st Place
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7.67Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.816.9%1st Place
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9.08Northeastern University1.224.9%1st Place
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5.79Dartmouth College1.719.8%1st Place
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13.54Boston University-0.481.5%1st Place
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10.57Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.752.8%1st Place
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11.59University of Rhode Island0.122.4%1st Place
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12.29Boston College-0.062.2%1st Place
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10.62U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.323.7%1st Place
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7.83Tufts University1.155.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zoey Ziskind | 16.4% | 14.3% | 11.7% | 11.1% | 10.0% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sophia Hubbard | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 2.1% |
| Lucy Meagher | 11.7% | 11.1% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 10.7% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Julia Conneely | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 2.1% |
| Katherine McGagh | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 7.8% |
| Lauren Russler | 10.2% | 11.1% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Laura Hamilton | 8.3% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.5% |
| Caitlin Derby | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 11.1% | 12.4% | 10.5% |
| Emma Wang | 6.9% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Eva Ermlich | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 2.5% |
| bella casaretto | 9.8% | 11.5% | 11.8% | 10.4% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Sage Andrews | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 14.7% | 33.4% |
| Brooke Barry | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 5.2% |
| Ariana Schwartz | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 9.5% | 11.3% | 11.8% | 11.9% |
| Kate Joslin | 2.2% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 11.5% | 15.7% | 15.8% |
| Caroline Odell | 3.7% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 6.8% |
| Ella Hubbard | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 0.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.