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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University3.35+3.76vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.28+1.86vs Predicted
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4Maine Maritime Academy2.20+3.36vs Predicted
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6Tufts University3.48-1.51vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont3.39-2.34vs Predicted
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8Brown University3.40-3.39vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University1.390.00vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.05-6.71vs Predicted
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11University of Connecticut2.51-4.44vs Predicted
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12Salve Regina University2.07-4.35vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.64-2.56vs Predicted
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14Bates College0.74-3.67vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.76Boston University3.350.1%1st Place
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4.86Yale University3.280.1%1st Place
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7.36Maine Maritime Academy2.200.0%1st Place
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4.49Tufts University3.480.1%1st Place
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4.66University of Vermont3.390.1%1st Place
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4.61Brown University3.400.1%1st Place
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9.0Northeastern University1.390.0%1st Place
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3.29U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.050.3%1st Place
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6.56University of Connecticut2.510.0%1st Place
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7.65Salve Regina University2.070.0%1st Place
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10.44Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.640.0%1st Place
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10.33Bates College0.740.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matt Johnson | 11.5% | 10.1% | 13.0% | 12.8% | 13.8% | 12.3% | 11.2% | 8.1% | 4.6% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Rebecca Jackson | 10.8% | 11.3% | 12.2% | 12.3% | 12.1% | 12.8% | 10.7% | 9.2% | 5.7% | 2.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| John Joseph | 4.6% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 13.8% | 17.5% | 15.8% | 7.6% | 2.7% |
| Natalie Salk | 11.2% | 15.2% | 14.4% | 13.1% | 11.7% | 11.8% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Mackenzie Spencer | 12.2% | 12.4% | 14.1% | 12.4% | 11.6% | 11.5% | 9.4% | 7.7% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Nikolas Osvalds | 12.0% | 13.3% | 12.3% | 13.9% | 10.5% | 12.9% | 10.6% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 1.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Marshall McLean | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 12.7% | 19.7% | 22.8% | 13.3% |
| Tanya Cuprak | 25.7% | 19.8% | 14.0% | 12.9% | 11.6% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sean Andrew | 4.6% | 4.4% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 10.2% | 10.1% | 13.2% | 13.6% | 12.7% | 11.3% | 3.9% | 0.4% |
| Robert Keller | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 10.4% | 13.0% | 17.8% | 15.1% | 10.7% | 3.9% |
| Patrick Morrissey | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 12.2% | 25.7% | 41.5% |
| Christopher Calahan | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 4.1% | 6.4% | 13.5% | 27.2% | 38.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.