← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.45+4.24vs Predicted
-
2California Poly Maritime Academy1.51+3.10vs Predicted
-
3California State University Channel Islands-0.97+9.92vs Predicted
-
4University of California at Santa Barbara1.95+0.01vs Predicted
-
5University of California at Santa Barbara1.34+0.51vs Predicted
-
6University of California at Berkeley1.48-0.62vs Predicted
-
7University of California at Los Angeles0.52+1.24vs Predicted
-
8University of California at San Diego1.45-2.74vs Predicted
-
9University of California at Santa Cruz0.34+0.02vs Predicted
-
10University of California at Davis0.13-0.47vs Predicted
-
11University of California at Berkeley0.60-2.89vs Predicted
-
12University of California at Santa Cruz-1.25+1.74vs Predicted
-
13San Diego State University-0.87-0.21vs Predicted
-
14Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.35+0.05vs Predicted
-
15Santa Clara University-0.44-3.63vs Predicted
-
16California State University Channel Islands-0.97-3.08vs Predicted
-
18California State University Channel Islands-0.97-5.08vs Predicted
-
19University of California at Irvine-0.71-6.69vs Predicted
-
20University of California at Los Angeles-0.10-9.58vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.24Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.450.1%1st Place
-
5.1California Poly Maritime Academy1.510.1%1st Place
-
12.92California State University Channel Islands-0.970.0%1st Place
-
4.01University of California at Santa Barbara1.950.2%1st Place
-
5.51University of California at Santa Barbara1.340.1%1st Place
-
5.38University of California at Berkeley1.480.1%1st Place
-
8.24University of California at Los Angeles0.520.0%1st Place
-
5.26University of California at San Diego1.450.1%1st Place
-
9.02University of California at Santa Cruz0.340.0%1st Place
-
9.53University of California at Davis0.130.0%1st Place
-
8.11University of California at Berkeley0.600.1%1st Place
-
13.74University of California at Santa Cruz-1.250.0%1st Place
-
12.79San Diego State University-0.870.0%1st Place
-
14.05Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.350.0%1st Place
-
11.37Santa Clara University-0.440.0%1st Place
-
12.92California State University Channel Islands-0.970.0%1st Place
-
12.92California State University Channel Islands-0.970.0%1st Place
-
12.31University of California at Irvine-0.710.0%1st Place
-
10.42University of California at Los Angeles-0.100.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liam Hood | 12.5% | 12.5% | 9.9% | 10.3% | 11.3% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nolan Van Dine | 12.1% | 11.1% | 12.2% | 12.8% | 10.7% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Gates | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 14.4% | 16.4% | 14.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jake Zieba | 18.8% | 16.5% | 14.6% | 12.2% | 11.9% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Politi | 11.6% | 10.2% | 11.1% | 11.1% | 8.9% | 10.9% | 9.7% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Hansen | 10.0% | 10.3% | 13.6% | 11.2% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Abraham Dearden | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Dorn | 12.2% | 12.8% | 11.4% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Keelin Davis | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 10.9% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 6.3% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jayden Potter | 2.2% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 10.5% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| EVAN TWIGG-SMITH | 5.8% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 6.6% | 10.2% | 10.4% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sofia Mack | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 10.2% | 13.5% | 19.2% | 23.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charlotte Hinman | 0.8% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 8.3% | 9.9% | 12.3% | 16.0% | 13.5% | 13.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sebastien Danthinne | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 10.9% | 10.4% | 18.5% | 29.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Allison Glover | 1.3% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 11.6% | 11.3% | 11.1% | 9.1% | 5.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Gates | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 14.4% | 16.4% | 14.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Gates | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 14.4% | 16.4% | 14.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Parker Kulavic | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 9.2% | 10.7% | 13.1% | 12.4% | 11.4% | 9.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Maddy Kuhn | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 9.7% | 11.9% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 5.6% | 2.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.