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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University2.20+5.12vs Predicted
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2Jacksonville University2.55+3.17vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University2.14+3.36vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy2.14+2.34vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston2.64-0.21vs Predicted
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6University of Virginia0.98+3.37vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University1.82+0.13vs Predicted
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8George Washington University2.35-2.39vs Predicted
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9Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.33-3.17vs Predicted
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10Georgetown University1.96-3.18vs Predicted
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11St. Mary's College of Maryland2.31-5.38vs Predicted
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12Northwestern University1.00-2.46vs Predicted
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13North Carolina State University-0.73-0.71vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.12Cornell University2.200.1%1st Place
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5.17Jacksonville University2.550.1%1st Place
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6.36Old Dominion University2.140.1%1st Place
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6.34U. S. Naval Academy2.140.1%1st Place
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4.79College of Charleston2.640.1%1st Place
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9.37University of Virginia0.980.0%1st Place
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7.13Northeastern University1.820.1%1st Place
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5.61George Washington University2.350.1%1st Place
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5.83Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.330.1%1st Place
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6.82Georgetown University1.960.1%1st Place
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5.62St. Mary's College of Maryland2.310.1%1st Place
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9.54Northwestern University1.000.0%1st Place
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12.29North Carolina State University-0.730.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brooke Shachoy | 8.4% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 6.4% | 3.0% | 0.3% |
| Charlotte Rose | 12.2% | 11.1% | 10.7% | 12.9% | 10.4% | 9.9% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Olivia Windemuller | 5.9% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 11.0% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 4.1% | 0.4% |
| Jessica McJones | 7.8% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 11.3% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 3.9% | 0.3% |
| Marian Frances Williams | 14.3% | 15.2% | 11.5% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 10.6% | 9.1% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Katarina Catallo | 2.8% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 10.6% | 15.9% | 26.9% | 8.4% |
| Carolyn Corbet | 7.4% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 10.3% | 12.1% | 11.4% | 7.4% | 1.3% |
| Aitana Mendiguren | 10.8% | 9.2% | 11.7% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 10.3% | 10.3% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 2.0% | 0.3% |
| Katherine Cox | 10.3% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 10.8% | 9.9% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 3.0% | 0.4% |
| Carly Broussard | 7.3% | 7.9% | 5.5% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 10.5% | 10.6% | 6.4% | 1.3% |
| Ellie Ungar | 10.1% | 10.5% | 11.1% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 10.5% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 0.1% |
| Katherine O'Donnell | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 16.8% | 27.3% | 10.0% |
| Katherine Richardson | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 10.6% | 76.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.