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📊 Prediction Accuracy

38.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Olivia Windemuller 7.9% 8.1% 9.1% 9.1% 8.0% 8.5% 9.7% 8.5% 11.3% 7.8% 6.9% 4.4% 0.7%
Jessica McJones 8.0% 8.8% 7.8% 8.7% 9.7% 9.4% 7.9% 9.7% 8.6% 9.8% 7.6% 3.3% 0.7%
Katherine Cox 9.5% 10.1% 10.0% 10.2% 8.8% 10.6% 9.2% 8.4% 9.4% 6.8% 3.7% 2.7% 0.6%
Carolyn Corbet 5.6% 5.3% 7.2% 7.4% 8.4% 7.4% 8.0% 8.1% 11.2% 10.7% 12.2% 6.6% 1.9%
Charlotte Rose 13.2% 13.0% 10.8% 10.4% 10.7% 8.6% 9.6% 8.5% 5.5% 5.4% 2.8% 1.3% 0.2%
Carly Broussard 7.5% 7.0% 7.3% 7.8% 8.2% 10.0% 7.3% 11.0% 8.1% 10.3% 9.0% 5.4% 1.1%
Ellie Ungar 11.0% 9.6% 10.1% 8.8% 9.5% 8.8% 10.1% 8.1% 7.8% 7.4% 6.2% 2.2% 0.4%
Katarina Catallo 2.2% 3.5% 3.0% 3.8% 3.0% 3.5% 5.6% 6.5% 6.7% 9.9% 15.8% 27.8% 8.7%
Marian Frances Williams 13.0% 13.1% 12.2% 11.8% 9.8% 9.3% 9.8% 6.2% 5.2% 4.6% 3.1% 1.7% 0.2%
Aitana Mendiguren 11.5% 9.1% 11.8% 9.6% 10.3% 8.8% 8.0% 8.2% 7.4% 7.2% 4.5% 2.9% 0.7%
Katherine Richardson 0.4% 0.2% 0.3% 0.5% 0.6% 0.4% 1.7% 1.2% 2.0% 2.4% 4.9% 12.7% 72.7%
Katherine O'Donnell 2.5% 2.6% 2.8% 3.2% 3.4% 5.1% 5.0% 5.7% 6.8% 9.3% 16.9% 25.2% 11.5%
Brooke Shachoy 7.7% 9.6% 7.6% 8.7% 9.6% 9.6% 8.1% 9.9% 10.0% 8.4% 6.4% 3.8% 0.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.