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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Old Dominion University2.14+5.32vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy2.14+4.29vs Predicted
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3Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.33+2.73vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University1.82+3.21vs Predicted
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5Jacksonville University2.55+0.06vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University1.96+0.69vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland2.31-1.25vs Predicted
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8University of Virginia0.98+1.40vs Predicted
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9College of Charleston2.64-4.04vs Predicted
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10George Washington University2.35-4.39vs Predicted
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11North Carolina State University-0.73+1.24vs Predicted
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12Northwestern University1.00-2.51vs Predicted
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13Cornell University2.20-6.76vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.32Old Dominion University2.140.1%1st Place
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6.29U. S. Naval Academy2.140.1%1st Place
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5.73Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.330.1%1st Place
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7.21Northeastern University1.820.1%1st Place
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5.06Jacksonville University2.550.1%1st Place
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6.69Georgetown University1.960.1%1st Place
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5.75St. Mary's College of Maryland2.310.1%1st Place
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9.4University of Virginia0.980.0%1st Place
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4.96College of Charleston2.640.1%1st Place
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5.61George Washington University2.350.1%1st Place
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12.24North Carolina State University-0.730.0%1st Place
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9.49Northwestern University1.000.0%1st Place
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6.24Cornell University2.200.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olivia Windemuller | 7.9% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 11.3% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 4.4% | 0.7% |
| Jessica McJones | 8.0% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 7.6% | 3.3% | 0.7% |
| Katherine Cox | 9.5% | 10.1% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 10.6% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 6.8% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 0.6% |
| Carolyn Corbet | 5.6% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 11.2% | 10.7% | 12.2% | 6.6% | 1.9% |
| Charlotte Rose | 13.2% | 13.0% | 10.8% | 10.4% | 10.7% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Carly Broussard | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 7.3% | 11.0% | 8.1% | 10.3% | 9.0% | 5.4% | 1.1% |
| Ellie Ungar | 11.0% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 2.2% | 0.4% |
| Katarina Catallo | 2.2% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 9.9% | 15.8% | 27.8% | 8.7% |
| Marian Frances Williams | 13.0% | 13.1% | 12.2% | 11.8% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Aitana Mendiguren | 11.5% | 9.1% | 11.8% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 0.7% |
| Katherine Richardson | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 4.9% | 12.7% | 72.7% |
| Katherine O'Donnell | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 9.3% | 16.9% | 25.2% | 11.5% |
| Brooke Shachoy | 7.7% | 9.6% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 9.9% | 10.0% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 3.8% | 0.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.