Race 3A

odu-spring-women

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Charlotte Rose 11.8% 12.7% 11.6% 10.5% 10.8% 9.7% 8.5% 8.4% 6.2% 5.0% 3.5% 1.1% 0.2%
Aitana Mendiguren 9.7% 10.5% 9.3% 10.5% 9.5% 11.3% 8.4% 8.4% 7.4% 7.6% 4.9% 2.1% 0.4%
Jessica McJones 6.4% 8.9% 10.0% 7.9% 7.9% 8.2% 9.9% 10.2% 10.2% 8.9% 7.1% 4.2% 0.2%
Carly Broussard 6.9% 6.9% 5.7% 8.9% 9.1% 7.4% 9.8% 8.1% 10.0% 9.2% 11.4% 5.7% 0.9%
Marian Frances Williams 14.4% 14.2% 12.8% 10.7% 8.7% 9.8% 8.6% 6.9% 5.5% 4.6% 2.6% 1.1% 0.1%
Carolyn Corbet 6.3% 5.9% 7.7% 6.7% 6.9% 6.5% 9.4% 9.4% 11.5% 9.7% 10.3% 8.4% 1.3%
Katherine Cox 10.7% 11.2% 9.7% 8.1% 9.6% 9.7% 10.6% 7.4% 7.4% 8.8% 3.6% 3.1% 0.1%
Olivia Windemuller 8.0% 8.8% 8.7% 8.1% 10.0% 8.4% 8.9% 10.5% 10.1% 8.2% 5.7% 4.4% 0.2%
Brooke Shachoy 9.1% 7.1% 9.1% 10.1% 8.8% 8.0% 9.8% 9.5% 7.8% 7.7% 9.0% 3.2% 0.8%
Ellie Ungar 11.7% 8.3% 10.0% 10.7% 9.2% 9.5% 7.9% 8.4% 8.1% 7.2% 5.0% 3.1% 0.9%
Katarina Catallo 2.4% 2.4% 2.4% 4.0% 5.3% 4.7% 4.0% 6.4% 7.6% 11.5% 14.7% 25.5% 9.1%
Katherine O'Donnell 2.2% 2.7% 2.8% 3.5% 2.8% 6.1% 3.7% 5.2% 6.6% 9.5% 17.3% 27.5% 10.1%
Katherine Richardson 0.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.3% 1.4% 0.7% 0.5% 1.2% 1.6% 2.1% 4.9% 10.6% 75.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.