Race 4A

odu-spring-women

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

53.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Aitana Mendiguren 10.7% 8.6% 10.0% 11.2% 9.0% 9.4% 9.6% 8.9% 8.2% 6.2% 5.9% 2.1% 0.2%
Katherine Cox 10.2% 9.1% 9.9% 9.2% 11.6% 9.6% 8.3% 8.7% 8.1% 7.5% 5.0% 2.4% 0.4%
Jessica McJones 6.8% 8.1% 8.9% 8.7% 9.9% 9.4% 7.6% 11.4% 9.5% 7.5% 8.2% 3.5% 0.5%
Charlotte Rose 12.6% 10.9% 13.1% 9.6% 10.6% 9.0% 9.2% 7.9% 7.1% 6.0% 2.9% 0.9% 0.2%
Brooke Shachoy 9.5% 8.4% 9.8% 9.8% 8.6% 7.7% 9.2% 9.5% 9.0% 7.9% 7.5% 2.9% 0.2%
Marian Frances Williams 13.5% 14.3% 11.5% 11.7% 10.3% 9.6% 7.8% 6.1% 5.6% 5.7% 2.7% 1.1% 0.1%
Carolyn Corbet 7.0% 7.1% 7.3% 6.3% 5.8% 6.5% 9.6% 9.2% 9.1% 10.4% 13.5% 6.8% 1.4%
Carly Broussard 6.3% 7.9% 6.6% 7.9% 7.9% 8.6% 9.8% 9.4% 9.8% 10.5% 7.9% 6.6% 0.8%
Ellie Ungar 9.3% 9.7% 8.6% 10.1% 8.7% 10.8% 10.0% 8.4% 7.1% 7.9% 6.0% 3.0% 0.4%
Katherine O'Donnell 3.4% 2.6% 2.9% 3.2% 3.3% 4.7% 4.2% 6.5% 9.2% 8.5% 15.6% 27.0% 8.9%
Olivia Windemuller 8.3% 10.1% 8.0% 8.6% 9.6% 9.9% 9.3% 8.0% 8.4% 9.5% 6.3% 3.4% 0.6%
Katarina Catallo 1.9% 2.6% 3.2% 2.9% 4.3% 4.0% 4.5% 5.0% 7.3% 11.0% 14.0% 29.2% 10.1%
Katherine Richardson 0.5% 0.6% 0.2% 0.8% 0.4% 0.8% 0.9% 1.0% 1.6% 1.4% 4.5% 11.1% 76.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.