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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston2.64+3.91vs Predicted
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2Northeastern University1.82+5.25vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy2.14+3.31vs Predicted
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4George Washington University2.35+1.71vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland2.31+0.71vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University1.96+0.74vs Predicted
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7Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.33-1.33vs Predicted
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8Jacksonville University2.55-2.91vs Predicted
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9Old Dominion University2.14-2.62vs Predicted
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10Cornell University2.20-3.91vs Predicted
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11University of Virginia0.98-1.68vs Predicted
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12Northwestern University1.00-2.48vs Predicted
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13North Carolina State University-0.73-0.71vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.91College of Charleston2.640.1%1st Place
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7.25Northeastern University1.820.1%1st Place
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6.31U. S. Naval Academy2.140.1%1st Place
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5.71George Washington University2.350.1%1st Place
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5.71St. Mary's College of Maryland2.310.1%1st Place
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6.74Georgetown University1.960.1%1st Place
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5.67Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.330.1%1st Place
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5.09Jacksonville University2.550.1%1st Place
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6.38Old Dominion University2.140.1%1st Place
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6.09Cornell University2.200.1%1st Place
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9.32University of Virginia0.980.0%1st Place
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9.52Northwestern University1.000.0%1st Place
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12.29North Carolina State University-0.730.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marian Frances Williams | 13.6% | 13.1% | 11.9% | 11.0% | 10.3% | 10.3% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Carolyn Corbet | 5.2% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 11.1% | 11.6% | 8.4% | 1.5% |
| Jessica McJones | 6.7% | 8.9% | 9.9% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 3.8% | 0.2% |
| Aitana Mendiguren | 10.2% | 9.1% | 10.2% | 11.0% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 10.7% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 4.8% | 2.1% | 0.3% |
| Ellie Ungar | 10.3% | 11.1% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 9.9% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 2.6% | 0.1% |
| Carly Broussard | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 6.5% | 0.9% |
| Katherine Cox | 10.5% | 11.3% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 0.1% |
| Charlotte Rose | 12.4% | 12.6% | 12.0% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 11.5% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 0.1% |
| Olivia Windemuller | 8.4% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 11.4% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 4.0% | 0.9% |
| Brooke Shachoy | 9.9% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 10.4% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 3.9% | 0.9% |
| Katarina Catallo | 2.8% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 9.2% | 11.7% | 14.2% | 25.4% | 8.9% |
| Katherine O'Donnell | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 6.9% | 10.5% | 16.5% | 27.2% | 10.0% |
| Katherine Richardson | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 5.0% | 10.4% | 75.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.