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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston2.64+3.92vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy2.14+4.33vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland2.31+2.83vs Predicted
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4Cornell University2.20+2.12vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University2.14+1.22vs Predicted
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6Jacksonville University2.55-0.95vs Predicted
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7George Washington University2.35-1.37vs Predicted
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8University of Virginia0.98+1.41vs Predicted
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9Georgetown University1.96-2.11vs Predicted
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10Northwestern University1.00-0.62vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University1.82-3.96vs Predicted
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12Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.33-6.09vs Predicted
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13North Carolina State University-0.73-0.71vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.92College of Charleston2.640.1%1st Place
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6.33U. S. Naval Academy2.140.1%1st Place
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5.83St. Mary's College of Maryland2.310.1%1st Place
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6.12Cornell University2.200.1%1st Place
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6.22Old Dominion University2.140.1%1st Place
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5.05Jacksonville University2.550.1%1st Place
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5.63George Washington University2.350.1%1st Place
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9.41University of Virginia0.980.0%1st Place
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6.89Georgetown University1.960.1%1st Place
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9.38Northwestern University1.000.0%1st Place
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7.04Northeastern University1.820.1%1st Place
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5.91Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.330.1%1st Place
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12.29North Carolina State University-0.730.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marian Frances Williams | 13.3% | 13.1% | 11.6% | 11.4% | 11.6% | 9.6% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Jessica McJones | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 10.0% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 4.0% | 0.6% |
| Ellie Ungar | 9.1% | 8.6% | 11.0% | 10.7% | 9.9% | 7.7% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 2.3% | 0.3% |
| Brooke Shachoy | 8.9% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 9.9% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 3.8% | 0.3% |
| Olivia Windemuller | 9.0% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 10.0% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 3.5% | 0.4% |
| Charlotte Rose | 12.4% | 13.3% | 11.9% | 11.1% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 0.0% |
| Aitana Mendiguren | 11.4% | 11.0% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 10.8% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 2.0% | 0.4% |
| Katarina Catallo | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 9.6% | 15.7% | 29.0% | 7.8% |
| Carly Broussard | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 1.3% |
| Katherine O'Donnell | 3.5% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 7.7% | 11.8% | 15.2% | 26.1% | 9.3% |
| Carolyn Corbet | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 9.9% | 10.1% | 11.0% | 10.0% | 6.8% | 1.3% |
| Katherine Cox | 8.9% | 10.4% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 0.3% |
| Katherine Richardson | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 4.5% | 8.9% | 77.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.