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📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston2.64+3.93vs Predicted
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2Cornell University2.20+4.16vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland2.31+2.82vs Predicted
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4Jacksonville University2.55+1.16vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University2.14+1.23vs Predicted
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6George Washington University2.35-0.38vs Predicted
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7Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.33-1.33vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University1.82-0.82vs Predicted
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9U. S. Naval Academy2.14-2.60vs Predicted
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10Northwestern University1.00-0.64vs Predicted
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11Georgetown University1.96-4.38vs Predicted
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12University of Virginia0.98-2.43vs Predicted
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13North Carolina State University-0.73-0.71vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.93College of Charleston2.640.1%1st Place
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6.16Cornell University2.200.1%1st Place
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5.82St. Mary's College of Maryland2.310.1%1st Place
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5.16Jacksonville University2.550.1%1st Place
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6.23Old Dominion University2.140.1%1st Place
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5.62George Washington University2.350.1%1st Place
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5.67Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.330.1%1st Place
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7.18Northeastern University1.820.1%1st Place
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6.4U. S. Naval Academy2.140.1%1st Place
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9.36Northwestern University1.000.0%1st Place
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6.62Georgetown University1.960.1%1st Place
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9.57University of Virginia0.980.0%1st Place
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12.29North Carolina State University-0.730.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marian Frances Williams | 13.2% | 12.7% | 12.2% | 11.0% | 11.2% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Brooke Shachoy | 8.0% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 10.9% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 2.7% | 0.6% |
| Ellie Ungar | 8.7% | 9.7% | 11.0% | 10.6% | 9.6% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 11.3% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 2.0% | 0.5% |
| Charlotte Rose | 12.9% | 11.1% | 11.6% | 12.0% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Olivia Windemuller | 9.0% | 7.7% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 11.5% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 3.6% | 0.2% |
| Aitana Mendiguren | 10.8% | 10.4% | 9.9% | 10.9% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 2.6% | 0.2% |
| Katherine Cox | 11.4% | 10.7% | 9.5% | 7.0% | 10.7% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 4.8% | 2.5% | 0.3% |
| Carolyn Corbet | 5.1% | 7.8% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 10.3% | 11.0% | 10.1% | 8.7% | 0.9% |
| Jessica McJones | 8.4% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 4.6% | 0.8% |
| Katherine O'Donnell | 3.3% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 16.2% | 26.6% | 8.8% |
| Carly Broussard | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 10.3% | 7.9% | 10.2% | 8.5% | 5.3% | 0.8% |
| Katarina Catallo | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 11.5% | 14.5% | 28.5% | 10.3% |
| Katherine Richardson | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 4.5% | 10.8% | 76.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.