← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Jacksonville University2.55+4.15vs Predicted
-
2Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.33+3.76vs Predicted
-
3Cornell University2.20+3.19vs Predicted
-
4College of Charleston2.64+0.92vs Predicted
-
5George Washington University2.35+0.60vs Predicted
-
6Northeastern University1.82+1.15vs Predicted
-
7Northwestern University1.00+2.24vs Predicted
-
8U. S. Naval Academy2.14-1.75vs Predicted
-
9St. Mary's College of Maryland2.31-3.10vs Predicted
-
10Old Dominion University2.14-3.73vs Predicted
-
11University of Virginia0.98-1.65vs Predicted
-
12Georgetown University1.96-5.06vs Predicted
-
13North Carolina State University-0.73-0.71vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.15Jacksonville University2.550.1%1st Place
-
5.76Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.330.1%1st Place
-
6.19Cornell University2.200.1%1st Place
-
4.92College of Charleston2.640.1%1st Place
-
5.6George Washington University2.350.1%1st Place
-
7.15Northeastern University1.820.1%1st Place
-
9.24Northwestern University1.000.0%1st Place
-
6.25U. S. Naval Academy2.140.1%1st Place
-
5.9St. Mary's College of Maryland2.310.1%1st Place
-
6.27Old Dominion University2.140.1%1st Place
-
9.35University of Virginia0.980.0%1st Place
-
6.94Georgetown University1.960.1%1st Place
-
12.29North Carolina State University-0.730.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charlotte Rose | 12.7% | 12.3% | 10.0% | 12.2% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Katherine Cox | 9.1% | 11.6% | 8.0% | 10.1% | 10.0% | 10.8% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 2.3% | 0.6% |
| Brooke Shachoy | 7.6% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 10.2% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 3.8% | 0.4% |
| Marian Frances Williams | 13.7% | 12.4% | 13.1% | 11.5% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Aitana Mendiguren | 10.7% | 11.3% | 9.3% | 11.4% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 2.4% | 0.4% |
| Carolyn Corbet | 6.5% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 10.2% | 11.1% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 8.4% | 1.5% |
| Katherine O'Donnell | 3.6% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 10.6% | 16.0% | 27.2% | 7.5% |
| Jessica McJones | 8.2% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 10.6% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 6.9% | 3.4% | 0.4% |
| Ellie Ungar | 9.6% | 8.8% | 11.4% | 7.5% | 10.9% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 5.6% | 2.8% | 0.8% |
| Olivia Windemuller | 8.9% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 4.9% | 0.8% |
| Katarina Catallo | 2.6% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 17.7% | 24.5% | 9.6% |
| Carly Broussard | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 10.7% | 11.2% | 9.5% | 6.6% | 1.0% |
| Katherine Richardson | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 11.0% | 76.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.