← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1George Washington University2.35+4.73vs Predicted
-
2Cornell University2.20+4.19vs Predicted
-
3Jacksonville University2.55+2.18vs Predicted
-
4College of Charleston2.64+0.88vs Predicted
-
5Northeastern University1.82+2.09vs Predicted
-
6Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.33-0.33vs Predicted
-
7U. S. Naval Academy2.14-0.76vs Predicted
-
8St. Mary's College of Maryland2.31-2.20vs Predicted
-
9Old Dominion University2.14-2.60vs Predicted
-
10Northwestern University1.00-0.63vs Predicted
-
11Georgetown University1.96-4.40vs Predicted
-
12University of Virginia0.98-2.43vs Predicted
-
13North Carolina State University-0.73-0.72vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.73George Washington University2.350.1%1st Place
-
6.19Cornell University2.200.1%1st Place
-
5.18Jacksonville University2.550.1%1st Place
-
4.88College of Charleston2.640.1%1st Place
-
7.09Northeastern University1.820.1%1st Place
-
5.67Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.330.1%1st Place
-
6.24U. S. Naval Academy2.140.1%1st Place
-
5.8St. Mary's College of Maryland2.310.1%1st Place
-
6.4Old Dominion University2.140.1%1st Place
-
9.37Northwestern University1.000.0%1st Place
-
6.6Georgetown University1.960.1%1st Place
-
9.57University of Virginia0.980.0%1st Place
-
12.28North Carolina State University-0.730.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aitana Mendiguren | 9.6% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 10.7% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 2.0% | 0.2% |
| Brooke Shachoy | 7.6% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 10.9% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 6.6% | 3.3% | 0.6% |
| Charlotte Rose | 11.5% | 11.2% | 13.1% | 10.6% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Marian Frances Williams | 13.8% | 13.0% | 12.0% | 12.1% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Carolyn Corbet | 6.8% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 11.6% | 12.0% | 7.3% | 1.0% |
| Katherine Cox | 10.5% | 10.6% | 9.5% | 10.7% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 2.8% | 0.3% |
| Jessica McJones | 9.9% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 10.5% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 3.4% | 0.9% |
| Ellie Ungar | 9.8% | 9.9% | 9.5% | 10.0% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 4.7% | 2.7% | 0.3% |
| Olivia Windemuller | 8.3% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 10.9% | 7.5% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 0.6% |
| Katherine O'Donnell | 3.3% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 8.3% | 10.3% | 15.6% | 27.0% | 8.8% |
| Carly Broussard | 6.5% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 9.9% | 8.5% | 4.6% | 1.0% |
| Katarina Catallo | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 9.4% | 15.9% | 28.9% | 10.0% |
| Katherine Richardson | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 10.9% | 75.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.