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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Purdue University-0.99+1.61vs Predicted
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2Western Michigan University-2.31+2.24vs Predicted
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3Marquette University-1.81+0.66vs Predicted
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4Washington University-0.76-1.61vs Predicted
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5Ohio State University-1.05-2.30vs Predicted
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6Saginaw Valley State University-3.47-0.60vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.61Purdue University-0.9926.0%1st Place
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4.24Western Michigan University-2.316.2%1st Place
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3.66Marquette University-1.8110.5%1st Place
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2.39Washington University-0.7629.3%1st Place
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2.7Ohio State University-1.0525.3%1st Place
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5.4Saginaw Valley State University-3.472.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Silas Hokanson | 26.0% | 24.8% | 22.5% | 16.8% | 8.5% | 1.5% |
| Kate Heaman | 6.2% | 8.6% | 11.9% | 19.1% | 36.4% | 17.7% |
| Matthew Schacht | 10.5% | 13.0% | 17.8% | 26.3% | 23.5% | 8.8% |
| Alexandra Adams | 29.3% | 28.4% | 22.8% | 13.2% | 5.3% | 0.8% |
| Alexa Hind | 25.3% | 23.0% | 21.9% | 18.1% | 9.8% | 1.9% |
| Adam Bryan | 2.6% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 6.4% | 16.5% | 69.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.