Race 10A

odu-spring-women

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

61.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Katherine Cox 10.0% 9.9% 11.2% 7.5% 10.1% 9.3% 11.2% 8.4% 6.9% 7.7% 5.2% 2.3% 0.3%
Charlotte Rose 11.8% 12.1% 10.2% 11.6% 10.2% 11.7% 7.8% 7.2% 6.5% 6.5% 2.7% 1.4% 0.3%
Marian Frances Williams 12.4% 13.4% 13.9% 10.4% 9.9% 9.1% 9.2% 8.3% 4.8% 5.2% 2.2% 1.0% 0.2%
Jessica McJones 8.9% 7.3% 8.3% 10.0% 8.0% 8.0% 10.0% 10.0% 9.2% 7.8% 8.0% 3.9% 0.6%
Ellie Ungar 10.0% 10.3% 9.9% 10.3% 9.1% 6.8% 10.6% 9.3% 7.9% 7.3% 5.5% 2.6% 0.4%
Carly Broussard 7.5% 7.5% 7.2% 7.9% 6.9% 8.5% 9.9% 9.5% 10.0% 8.1% 9.4% 6.7% 0.9%
Aitana Mendiguren 11.3% 10.7% 9.7% 10.0% 8.9% 9.9% 9.1% 8.2% 8.1% 7.1% 4.2% 2.4% 0.4%
Olivia Windemuller 7.4% 9.1% 8.4% 8.7% 7.9% 10.7% 8.6% 9.8% 10.4% 7.5% 7.4% 3.8% 0.3%
Katarina Catallo 2.5% 3.3% 2.7% 2.9% 4.2% 4.7% 4.2% 4.7% 6.9% 10.9% 16.2% 27.8% 9.0%
Brooke Shachoy 9.3% 8.3% 10.2% 8.8% 9.0% 10.0% 7.0% 8.9% 9.0% 7.5% 7.1% 4.4% 0.5%
Katherine O'Donnell 2.6% 2.2% 3.2% 3.9% 5.2% 4.2% 4.5% 6.2% 8.2% 10.2% 16.6% 23.7% 9.3%
Carolyn Corbet 5.8% 5.4% 4.9% 7.8% 9.3% 6.5% 7.2% 8.5% 10.6% 11.7% 12.0% 8.9% 1.4%
Katherine Richardson 0.5% 0.5% 0.2% 0.2% 1.3% 0.6% 0.7% 1.0% 1.5% 2.5% 3.5% 11.1% 76.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.