Race 11A

odu-spring-women

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Katherine Cox 9.5% 9.9% 10.2% 10.0% 9.0% 9.5% 10.3% 10.0% 7.1% 5.6% 6.2% 2.3% 0.4%
Carolyn Corbet 6.1% 5.2% 6.4% 7.8% 5.9% 8.0% 8.9% 10.2% 9.1% 11.2% 11.9% 7.8% 1.5%
Katherine O'Donnell 1.9% 1.9% 2.5% 3.2% 3.7% 5.1% 5.1% 6.4% 8.1% 9.4% 16.6% 27.1% 9.0%
Brooke Shachoy 9.3% 8.1% 9.2% 9.4% 8.4% 8.9% 10.0% 8.8% 8.5% 10.2% 4.8% 4.0% 0.4%
Marian Frances Williams 13.5% 15.1% 11.9% 10.7% 10.1% 9.6% 8.4% 6.4% 5.8% 4.7% 2.0% 1.5% 0.3%
Aitana Mendiguren 10.3% 9.5% 11.2% 10.6% 8.7% 10.0% 9.1% 9.0% 7.3% 6.6% 5.4% 2.0% 0.3%
Ellie Ungar 11.4% 9.7% 9.2% 9.0% 9.6% 9.4% 9.7% 8.2% 7.7% 8.3% 5.7% 2.0% 0.1%
Olivia Windemuller 7.5% 8.2% 8.2% 8.8% 10.7% 8.1% 9.5% 10.2% 10.0% 8.2% 6.2% 3.9% 0.5%
Katarina Catallo 2.4% 3.2% 2.8% 3.6% 3.5% 3.7% 5.2% 4.8% 7.8% 9.5% 18.1% 26.5% 8.9%
Jessica McJones 8.8% 8.2% 9.5% 8.1% 9.3% 8.8% 6.7% 9.0% 10.4% 8.9% 6.2% 5.7% 0.4%
Charlotte Rose 12.3% 14.2% 11.9% 10.9% 11.6% 10.2% 7.7% 7.2% 5.7% 4.1% 3.0% 0.9% 0.3%
Carly Broussard 6.4% 6.5% 6.8% 7.5% 8.4% 7.9% 8.3% 9.2% 11.0% 11.3% 9.1% 6.6% 1.0%
Katherine Richardson 0.6% 0.3% 0.2% 0.4% 1.1% 0.8% 1.1% 0.6% 1.5% 2.0% 4.8% 9.7% 76.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.