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📊 Prediction Accuracy
61.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1George Washington University2.35+4.71vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy2.14+4.36vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston2.64+1.94vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland2.31+1.84vs Predicted
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5Cornell University2.20+1.02vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.33-0.30vs Predicted
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7Northwestern University1.00+2.26vs Predicted
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8Old Dominion University2.14-1.72vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University1.82-1.69vs Predicted
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10University of Virginia0.98-0.63vs Predicted
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11Jacksonville University2.55-6.07vs Predicted
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12Georgetown University1.96-5.02vs Predicted
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13North Carolina State University-0.73-0.69vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.71George Washington University2.350.1%1st Place
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6.36U. S. Naval Academy2.140.1%1st Place
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4.94College of Charleston2.640.1%1st Place
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5.84St. Mary's College of Maryland2.310.1%1st Place
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6.02Cornell University2.200.1%1st Place
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5.7Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.330.1%1st Place
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9.26Northwestern University1.000.0%1st Place
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6.28Old Dominion University2.140.1%1st Place
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7.31Northeastern University1.820.1%1st Place
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9.37University of Virginia0.980.0%1st Place
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4.93Jacksonville University2.550.1%1st Place
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6.98Georgetown University1.960.1%1st Place
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12.31North Carolina State University-0.730.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aitana Mendiguren | 10.1% | 9.1% | 11.0% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 1.9% | 0.2% |
| Jessica McJones | 7.7% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 8.1% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 7.2% | 4.4% | 0.5% |
| Marian Frances Williams | 12.5% | 13.7% | 11.6% | 10.9% | 11.0% | 10.6% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 0.6% | 0.4% |
| Ellie Ungar | 10.1% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 10.8% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 10.1% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 2.4% | 0.4% |
| Brooke Shachoy | 9.4% | 8.6% | 10.7% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 3.6% | 0.2% |
| Katherine Cox | 10.4% | 10.0% | 9.5% | 9.7% | 11.2% | 8.0% | 10.7% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 0.1% |
| Katherine O'Donnell | 3.7% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 11.6% | 16.2% | 26.4% | 8.1% |
| Olivia Windemuller | 7.5% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 10.6% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 3.0% | 0.8% |
| Carolyn Corbet | 6.7% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 10.4% | 8.7% | 12.5% | 10.8% | 8.5% | 1.7% |
| Katarina Catallo | 2.9% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 11.2% | 15.7% | 25.6% | 9.7% |
| Charlotte Rose | 12.5% | 14.0% | 12.5% | 11.0% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 0.0% |
| Carly Broussard | 6.1% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 10.5% | 10.6% | 10.7% | 6.9% | 0.9% |
| Katherine Richardson | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 3.7% | 11.1% | 77.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.