Race 1B

odu-spring-women

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Olivia de Olazarra 21.6% 16.3% 16.6% 11.4% 10.7% 8.1% 6.0% 4.8% 2.0% 1.6% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
Liza Toppa 10.7% 12.3% 11.0% 12.4% 10.9% 8.7% 8.5% 7.9% 7.0% 4.8% 4.2% 1.3% 0.3%
Katherine Bennett 6.3% 7.4% 8.6% 9.2% 9.5% 9.9% 8.7% 9.5% 10.6% 7.6% 7.6% 4.7% 0.4%
Hannah Pokorny 5.3% 6.8% 5.5% 7.4% 8.0% 9.4% 8.1% 6.9% 11.2% 9.8% 11.4% 9.3% 0.9%
Sebby Turner 11.2% 11.7% 12.3% 9.1% 9.3% 8.5% 9.2% 9.6% 6.9% 5.3% 4.6% 2.0% 0.3%
Ella Withington 9.0% 7.7% 8.6% 9.6% 9.2% 9.4% 9.8% 8.3% 9.7% 7.9% 6.4% 3.9% 0.5%
Victoria Pajak 7.6% 7.1% 8.3% 6.3% 7.5% 8.3% 10.1% 9.3% 8.8% 10.1% 8.7% 7.0% 0.9%
Katie Purcell 2.5% 4.3% 3.3% 3.9% 3.1% 5.0% 5.4% 7.6% 8.5% 10.7% 15.6% 26.8% 3.3%
Paula Resto 8.2% 8.3% 7.7% 9.6% 9.9% 8.5% 9.2% 8.5% 8.2% 8.6% 7.4% 5.3% 0.6%
Lillian Nemeth 4.4% 3.9% 3.5% 3.9% 5.4% 6.4% 7.0% 8.5% 6.9% 11.6% 13.6% 20.2% 4.7%
Morgan Sailer 6.7% 8.1% 8.6% 7.9% 8.3% 9.9% 9.9% 9.1% 9.9% 7.6% 8.2% 5.2% 0.6%
Marie Line 6.2% 5.7% 5.9% 9.1% 7.6% 7.5% 7.6% 8.9% 9.7% 12.4% 9.9% 8.5% 1.0%
Anneliese Carlson 0.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.2% 0.6% 0.4% 0.5% 1.1% 0.6% 2.0% 1.7% 5.6% 86.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.