Race 2B

odu-spring-women

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Hannah Pokorny 6.9% 5.9% 6.6% 7.6% 7.7% 8.9% 10.7% 10.8% 11.3% 13.5% 8.8% 1.3%
Olivia de Olazarra 22.4% 20.4% 16.2% 12.0% 10.2% 7.7% 4.5% 3.6% 2.0% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
Katherine Bennett 9.5% 6.9% 9.8% 8.7% 10.1% 10.1% 10.8% 11.1% 9.3% 8.8% 4.8% 0.1%
Morgan Sailer 6.6% 7.7% 8.8% 10.1% 10.0% 10.6% 9.8% 9.6% 8.9% 10.3% 6.6% 1.0%
Liza Toppa 12.0% 13.8% 12.6% 11.0% 11.8% 10.0% 9.6% 5.9% 6.6% 3.7% 2.9% 0.1%
Sebby Turner 11.9% 12.0% 10.6% 12.2% 10.2% 10.0% 10.8% 8.2% 6.9% 4.4% 2.7% 0.1%
Katie Purcell 3.9% 4.0% 3.0% 5.3% 6.2% 5.7% 6.7% 8.3% 9.7% 13.7% 27.6% 5.9%
Ella Withington 9.9% 10.3% 9.5% 9.1% 11.7% 8.5% 8.8% 11.0% 9.6% 6.5% 4.5% 0.6%
Lillian Nemeth 2.9% 4.3% 5.2% 5.3% 5.8% 8.0% 8.4% 9.5% 12.1% 15.7% 20.5% 2.3%
Marie Line 7.6% 6.6% 9.2% 9.3% 7.8% 9.4% 9.9% 11.1% 9.9% 10.5% 7.7% 1.0%
Victoria Pajak 6.1% 7.7% 7.9% 9.0% 8.2% 10.7% 9.3% 9.7% 11.7% 10.2% 8.1% 1.4%
Anneliese Carlson 0.3% 0.4% 0.6% 0.4% 0.3% 0.4% 0.7% 1.2% 2.0% 1.9% 5.6% 86.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.