Race 3B

odu-spring-women

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

41.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Sebby Turner 12.0% 11.0% 10.1% 10.5% 13.7% 10.3% 9.3% 7.0% 8.5% 4.8% 2.5% 0.3%
Olivia de Olazarra 22.5% 19.9% 16.3% 12.0% 9.5% 8.3% 5.8% 3.4% 1.3% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
Ella Withington 10.0% 7.7% 10.2% 9.2% 9.4% 10.7% 9.4% 11.3% 10.6% 6.7% 4.8% 0.0%
Katherine Bennett 7.2% 8.8% 8.8% 12.2% 9.6% 9.9% 11.6% 10.6% 6.6% 8.3% 5.5% 0.9%
Morgan Sailer 8.0% 7.8% 9.4% 8.0% 9.8% 8.9% 11.1% 8.3% 10.2% 10.3% 7.0% 1.2%
Katie Purcell 3.3% 3.3% 3.3% 5.9% 4.3% 3.9% 7.8% 7.9% 12.3% 14.9% 27.5% 5.6%
Liza Toppa 13.8% 13.4% 13.3% 10.8% 10.6% 9.9% 8.9% 7.2% 6.0% 3.9% 2.1% 0.1%
Lillian Nemeth 4.5% 4.5% 4.5% 5.3% 6.5% 5.9% 7.0% 10.7% 10.7% 15.2% 21.8% 3.4%
Victoria Pajak 6.3% 7.8% 8.9% 9.5% 10.3% 10.8% 10.4% 9.8% 11.1% 8.1% 6.5% 0.5%
Marie Line 6.9% 8.8% 7.1% 9.3% 7.8% 10.9% 8.2% 12.3% 9.9% 10.9% 7.3% 0.6%
Hannah Pokorny 5.2% 6.7% 7.7% 7.0% 8.0% 9.8% 9.8% 10.2% 11.1% 13.6% 9.5% 1.4%
Anneliese Carlson 0.3% 0.3% 0.4% 0.3% 0.5% 0.7% 0.7% 1.3% 1.7% 2.5% 5.3% 86.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.