Race 4B

odu-spring-women

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Katherine Bennett 8.7% 7.7% 8.7% 9.3% 9.4% 11.6% 11.4% 9.6% 9.0% 8.8% 5.4% 0.4%
Liza Toppa 10.8% 13.8% 12.7% 12.0% 11.5% 9.6% 10.5% 7.5% 6.9% 3.1% 1.3% 0.3%
Sebby Turner 11.4% 10.6% 12.9% 10.9% 10.6% 11.3% 10.2% 9.7% 7.0% 3.1% 2.1% 0.2%
Victoria Pajak 6.2% 7.4% 8.0% 10.2% 10.5% 9.3% 9.1% 10.8% 9.9% 10.1% 7.6% 0.9%
Morgan Sailer 6.5% 9.2% 8.5% 8.4% 11.0% 8.8% 10.3% 10.2% 9.9% 8.3% 7.6% 1.3%
Ella Withington 9.2% 8.4% 9.6% 9.3% 10.1% 11.8% 11.1% 9.1% 8.2% 8.0% 4.7% 0.5%
Hannah Pokorny 6.1% 7.9% 7.5% 8.3% 9.4% 7.6% 8.3% 11.2% 12.6% 11.0% 9.4% 0.7%
Marie Line 8.2% 7.1% 8.5% 9.1% 7.5% 8.5% 11.1% 9.2% 11.0% 11.3% 6.8% 1.7%
Olivia de Olazarra 25.4% 20.5% 15.6% 11.6% 8.9% 8.6% 4.1% 2.8% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
Katie Purcell 4.2% 3.2% 3.8% 4.2% 5.6% 6.0% 5.6% 8.6% 10.8% 16.7% 27.2% 4.1%
Lillian Nemeth 3.0% 3.9% 3.8% 5.9% 5.4% 6.1% 7.5% 10.1% 11.2% 16.2% 22.6% 4.3%
Anneliese Carlson 0.3% 0.3% 0.4% 0.8% 0.1% 0.8% 0.8% 1.2% 1.6% 2.9% 5.2% 85.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.