← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
58.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Cornell University2.11+4.15vs Predicted
-
2St. Mary's College of Maryland1.80+3.89vs Predicted
-
3Northeastern University1.64+3.32vs Predicted
-
4College of Charleston2.21+0.88vs Predicted
-
5Georgetown University1.69+1.16vs Predicted
-
6Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.85-0.24vs Predicted
-
7Old Dominion University1.51-0.46vs Predicted
-
8George Washington University1.60-1.70vs Predicted
-
9U. S. Naval Academy2.80-5.72vs Predicted
-
10University of Virginia0.82-1.79vs Predicted
-
11North Carolina State University-1.49+0.54vs Predicted
-
12Northwestern University1.01-4.03vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.15Cornell University2.110.1%1st Place
-
5.89St. Mary's College of Maryland1.800.1%1st Place
-
6.32Northeastern University1.640.1%1st Place
-
4.88College of Charleston2.210.1%1st Place
-
6.16Georgetown University1.690.1%1st Place
-
5.76Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.850.1%1st Place
-
6.54Old Dominion University1.510.1%1st Place
-
6.3George Washington University1.600.1%1st Place
-
3.28U. S. Naval Academy2.800.2%1st Place
-
8.21University of Virginia0.820.0%1st Place
-
11.54North Carolina State University-1.490.0%1st Place
-
7.97Northwestern University1.010.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sebby Turner | 10.9% | 11.1% | 10.9% | 11.2% | 11.9% | 10.8% | 11.3% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 2.7% | 0.3% |
| Katherine Bennett | 7.2% | 8.7% | 10.7% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 11.0% | 10.6% | 9.6% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 0.5% |
| Victoria Pajak | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 11.1% | 11.9% | 10.9% | 7.0% | 0.8% |
| Liza Toppa | 10.5% | 13.5% | 12.6% | 13.2% | 10.5% | 11.2% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 0.1% |
| Morgan Sailer | 6.9% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 10.1% | 10.7% | 10.2% | 10.7% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 0.6% |
| Ella Withington | 8.4% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 11.4% | 10.0% | 10.6% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 0.2% |
| Hannah Pokorny | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 11.7% | 11.5% | 11.0% | 8.4% | 1.3% |
| Marie Line | 8.8% | 6.5% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 10.5% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 12.1% | 7.7% | 1.0% |
| Olivia de Olazarra | 24.3% | 20.4% | 16.8% | 12.2% | 9.8% | 7.5% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Katie Purcell | 4.3% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 9.0% | 11.7% | 15.6% | 25.6% | 5.0% |
| Anneliese Carlson | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 1.3% | 3.0% | 5.4% | 86.2% |
| Lillian Nemeth | 4.2% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 9.9% | 12.2% | 15.0% | 22.2% | 4.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.