Race 6B

odu-spring-women

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

41.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Morgan Sailer 7.6% 7.1% 9.2% 6.6% 9.5% 9.2% 12.0% 10.2% 9.2% 11.1% 7.6% 0.7%
Sebby Turner 10.1% 13.1% 11.4% 10.7% 12.8% 9.5% 8.7% 8.9% 8.2% 4.3% 2.2% 0.1%
Katherine Bennett 9.9% 6.7% 10.7% 8.0% 8.9% 10.1% 10.9% 10.2% 10.6% 8.1% 5.6% 0.3%
Victoria Pajak 5.7% 7.8% 8.8% 9.7% 8.9% 9.9% 10.2% 10.3% 11.0% 9.3% 7.4% 1.0%
Hannah Pokorny 5.8% 7.9% 6.2% 10.0% 7.7% 9.1% 9.2% 10.8% 10.6% 10.2% 10.4% 2.1%
Liza Toppa 13.4% 12.4% 12.0% 11.9% 11.6% 9.9% 10.1% 6.9% 5.3% 4.5% 1.9% 0.1%
Ella Withington 9.2% 10.3% 9.1% 11.2% 9.7% 9.8% 9.3% 9.7% 9.6% 6.9% 5.0% 0.2%
Katie Purcell 3.6% 4.3% 4.5% 3.1% 4.9% 7.6% 6.0% 8.0% 9.5% 15.5% 27.6% 5.4%
Marie Line 6.3% 6.9% 8.7% 9.6% 10.0% 10.6% 9.8% 10.6% 11.2% 8.9% 6.9% 0.5%
Lillian Nemeth 4.5% 4.1% 5.0% 6.0% 5.7% 6.1% 7.3% 9.1% 11.5% 17.2% 20.6% 2.9%
Olivia de Olazarra 23.5% 19.0% 14.3% 12.6% 9.9% 7.6% 5.5% 4.4% 1.9% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Anneliese Carlson 0.4% 0.4% 0.1% 0.6% 0.4% 0.6% 1.0% 0.9% 1.4% 2.9% 4.6% 86.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.