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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northeastern University1.64+5.32vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland1.80+3.80vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy2.80+0.40vs Predicted
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4University of Virginia0.82+4.35vs Predicted
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5George Washington University1.60+1.38vs Predicted
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6Cornell University2.11-0.96vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University1.33-0.04vs Predicted
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8Georgetown University1.69-1.97vs Predicted
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9Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.82-3.42vs Predicted
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10Northwestern University1.01-2.26vs Predicted
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11College of Charleston2.21-6.11vs Predicted
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12North Carolina State University-1.49-0.48vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.32Northeastern University1.640.1%1st Place
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5.8St. Mary's College of Maryland1.800.1%1st Place
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3.4U. S. Naval Academy2.800.2%1st Place
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8.35University of Virginia0.820.0%1st Place
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6.38George Washington University1.600.1%1st Place
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5.04Cornell University2.110.1%1st Place
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6.96Old Dominion University1.330.1%1st Place
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6.03Georgetown University1.690.1%1st Place
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5.58Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.820.1%1st Place
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7.74Northwestern University1.010.0%1st Place
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4.89College of Charleston2.210.1%1st Place
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11.52North Carolina State University-1.490.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Victoria Pajak | 6.9% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 6.5% | 10.5% | 10.4% | 11.0% | 11.3% | 10.4% | 9.4% | 6.8% | 1.2% |
| Katherine Bennett | 7.2% | 10.3% | 9.1% | 11.3% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 11.8% | 10.9% | 9.5% | 7.4% | 4.1% | 0.6% |
| Olivia de Olazarra | 24.4% | 19.1% | 14.7% | 13.7% | 9.8% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Katie Purcell | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 9.9% | 10.1% | 16.3% | 26.8% | 4.6% |
| Marie Line | 6.5% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 10.9% | 10.3% | 8.8% | 1.2% |
| Sebby Turner | 11.7% | 12.8% | 10.0% | 11.1% | 11.9% | 11.3% | 9.7% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 0.2% |
| Colleen Baumann | 5.5% | 5.2% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 12.0% | 13.0% | 12.7% | 1.9% |
| Morgan Sailer | 8.7% | 8.9% | 9.9% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 11.3% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 6.4% | 1.1% |
| Bridget Lawless | 8.3% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 12.0% | 11.9% | 10.3% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 0.2% |
| Lillian Nemeth | 4.3% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 9.5% | 12.5% | 15.0% | 20.1% | 3.3% |
| Liza Toppa | 13.1% | 11.5% | 13.7% | 11.0% | 10.5% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 4.5% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Anneliese Carlson | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 2.7% | 5.3% | 85.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.