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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Victoria Pajak 6.9% 6.8% 8.8% 6.5% 10.5% 10.4% 11.0% 11.3% 10.4% 9.4% 6.8% 1.2%
Katherine Bennett 7.2% 10.3% 9.1% 11.3% 8.9% 8.9% 11.8% 10.9% 9.5% 7.4% 4.1% 0.6%
Olivia de Olazarra 24.4% 19.1% 14.7% 13.7% 9.8% 7.3% 5.9% 2.4% 1.7% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
Katie Purcell 3.1% 2.7% 3.7% 3.9% 4.8% 6.5% 7.6% 9.9% 10.1% 16.3% 26.8% 4.6%
Marie Line 6.5% 7.6% 8.6% 8.8% 8.9% 10.1% 8.7% 9.6% 10.9% 10.3% 8.8% 1.2%
Sebby Turner 11.7% 12.8% 10.0% 11.1% 11.9% 11.3% 9.7% 7.6% 6.0% 4.8% 2.9% 0.2%
Colleen Baumann 5.5% 5.2% 8.0% 7.4% 7.3% 8.5% 9.6% 8.9% 12.0% 13.0% 12.7% 1.9%
Morgan Sailer 8.7% 8.9% 9.9% 7.9% 8.4% 9.8% 8.6% 11.3% 9.4% 9.6% 6.4% 1.1%
Bridget Lawless 8.3% 9.4% 9.7% 12.0% 11.9% 10.3% 9.7% 9.4% 8.6% 6.2% 4.3% 0.2%
Lillian Nemeth 4.3% 5.2% 3.4% 6.1% 6.1% 6.9% 7.6% 9.5% 12.5% 15.0% 20.1% 3.3%
Liza Toppa 13.1% 11.5% 13.7% 11.0% 10.5% 9.8% 8.9% 7.5% 7.7% 4.5% 1.6% 0.2%
Anneliese Carlson 0.3% 0.5% 0.4% 0.3% 1.0% 0.2% 0.9% 1.7% 1.2% 2.7% 5.3% 85.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.