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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Washington University-0.76+1.37vs Predicted
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2Purdue University-0.99+0.66vs Predicted
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3Western Michigan University-2.31+1.24vs Predicted
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4Saginaw Valley State University-3.47+1.40vs Predicted
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5Ohio State University-1.05-2.31vs Predicted
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6Marquette University-1.81-2.36vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.37Washington University-0.7631.4%1st Place
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2.66Purdue University-0.9924.9%1st Place
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4.24Western Michigan University-2.316.1%1st Place
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5.4Saginaw Valley State University-3.471.9%1st Place
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2.69Ohio State University-1.0524.7%1st Place
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3.64Marquette University-1.8111.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexandra Adams | 31.4% | 27.4% | 20.7% | 14.5% | 5.3% | 0.8% |
| Silas Hokanson | 24.9% | 24.1% | 24.2% | 16.3% | 8.4% | 2.1% |
| Kate Heaman | 6.1% | 9.4% | 11.3% | 18.9% | 36.0% | 18.2% |
| Adam Bryan | 1.9% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 5.5% | 16.4% | 69.5% |
| Alexa Hind | 24.7% | 22.6% | 23.9% | 18.2% | 9.2% | 1.5% |
| Matthew Schacht | 11.1% | 13.5% | 16.4% | 26.7% | 24.6% | 7.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.