Race 8B

odu-spring-women

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

58.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Morgan Sailer 7.8% 6.8% 8.6% 9.5% 9.0% 10.7% 9.1% 11.6% 10.1% 9.7% 6.1% 1.0%
Lillian Nemeth 2.9% 4.1% 5.4% 5.4% 6.6% 5.8% 8.6% 9.7% 10.6% 15.7% 21.8% 3.4%
Liza Toppa 13.0% 13.2% 11.5% 12.1% 11.6% 10.7% 9.1% 7.3% 6.6% 2.9% 1.9% 0.1%
Katherine Bennett 7.9% 9.3% 10.6% 9.2% 12.1% 10.2% 8.5% 10.0% 8.5% 8.5% 4.4% 0.8%
Olivia de Olazarra 23.8% 20.6% 16.3% 10.1% 11.3% 7.0% 4.4% 2.8% 2.3% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
Victoria Pajak 7.2% 8.4% 8.6% 7.3% 9.1% 10.2% 12.3% 10.2% 8.9% 9.8% 7.4% 0.6%
Colleen Baumann 6.5% 5.6% 6.9% 7.8% 6.9% 8.0% 10.5% 8.7% 12.1% 13.1% 12.3% 1.6%
Bridget Lawless 9.5% 9.6% 8.7% 10.9% 8.6% 10.3% 9.3% 11.1% 9.9% 6.5% 4.9% 0.7%
Katie Purcell 2.5% 2.7% 4.3% 5.1% 4.7% 7.9% 7.7% 8.3% 12.2% 14.7% 26.9% 3.0%
Sebby Turner 12.1% 12.9% 11.2% 13.0% 10.1% 9.3% 10.4% 8.6% 5.9% 4.4% 2.0% 0.1%
Marie Line 6.5% 6.3% 7.7% 9.1% 9.6% 9.1% 9.1% 10.8% 11.6% 10.6% 8.2% 1.4%
Anneliese Carlson 0.3% 0.5% 0.2% 0.5% 0.4% 0.8% 1.0% 0.9% 1.3% 2.9% 3.9% 87.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.