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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University2.11+3.92vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland1.80+3.63vs Predicted
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3University of Virginia0.82+5.04vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University1.33+2.87vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University1.69+0.92vs Predicted
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6Northwestern University1.01+1.61vs Predicted
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7College of Charleston2.21-2.49vs Predicted
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8Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.82-2.48vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University1.64-3.15vs Predicted
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10U. S. Naval Academy2.80-6.73vs Predicted
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11George Washington University0.76-2.64vs Predicted
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12North Carolina State University-1.49-0.51vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.92Cornell University2.110.1%1st Place
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5.63St. Mary's College of Maryland1.800.1%1st Place
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8.04University of Virginia0.820.0%1st Place
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6.87Old Dominion University1.330.0%1st Place
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5.92Georgetown University1.690.1%1st Place
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7.61Northwestern University1.010.0%1st Place
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4.51College of Charleston2.210.1%1st Place
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5.52Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.820.1%1st Place
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5.85Northeastern University1.640.1%1st Place
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3.27U. S. Naval Academy2.800.2%1st Place
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8.36George Washington University0.760.0%1st Place
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11.49North Carolina State University-1.490.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sebby Turner | 12.1% | 10.4% | 12.6% | 11.3% | 13.3% | 11.1% | 10.7% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 0.1% |
| Katherine Bennett | 7.5% | 10.5% | 8.7% | 11.5% | 11.1% | 10.2% | 10.6% | 10.6% | 9.4% | 7.1% | 2.2% | 0.6% |
| Katie Purcell | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 9.3% | 13.1% | 15.9% | 23.0% | 3.4% |
| Colleen Baumann | 4.5% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 11.4% | 11.8% | 12.1% | 10.6% | 1.2% |
| Morgan Sailer | 7.6% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 10.2% | 9.9% | 10.1% | 10.8% | 9.3% | 11.0% | 7.4% | 4.8% | 1.1% |
| Lillian Nemeth | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 9.9% | 11.8% | 11.2% | 15.6% | 17.4% | 2.7% |
| Liza Toppa | 14.6% | 13.4% | 15.5% | 10.0% | 11.0% | 10.5% | 9.3% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Bridget Lawless | 11.0% | 9.8% | 10.7% | 9.9% | 8.3% | 10.7% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 0.7% |
| Victoria Pajak | 6.6% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 10.4% | 11.4% | 11.5% | 10.5% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 4.4% | 0.3% |
| Olivia de Olazarra | 24.8% | 20.6% | 16.0% | 12.5% | 10.1% | 7.1% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Hardee | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 9.3% | 11.6% | 17.8% | 23.8% | 6.0% |
| Anneliese Carlson | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 2.8% | 6.4% | 83.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.