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📊 Prediction Accuracy

25.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Sebby Turner 12.1% 10.4% 12.6% 11.3% 13.3% 11.1% 10.7% 6.8% 5.4% 4.0% 2.2% 0.1%
Katherine Bennett 7.5% 10.5% 8.7% 11.5% 11.1% 10.2% 10.6% 10.6% 9.4% 7.1% 2.2% 0.6%
Katie Purcell 3.8% 3.6% 4.0% 4.1% 5.8% 7.0% 7.0% 9.3% 13.1% 15.9% 23.0% 3.4%
Colleen Baumann 4.5% 5.6% 6.7% 8.2% 8.5% 9.4% 10.0% 11.4% 11.8% 12.1% 10.6% 1.2%
Morgan Sailer 7.6% 9.1% 8.7% 10.2% 9.9% 10.1% 10.8% 9.3% 11.0% 7.4% 4.8% 1.1%
Lillian Nemeth 4.3% 4.0% 5.0% 6.4% 6.0% 5.7% 9.9% 11.8% 11.2% 15.6% 17.4% 2.7%
Liza Toppa 14.6% 13.4% 15.5% 10.0% 11.0% 10.5% 9.3% 7.0% 4.5% 3.0% 1.0% 0.2%
Bridget Lawless 11.0% 9.8% 10.7% 9.9% 8.3% 10.7% 9.7% 9.2% 9.9% 6.1% 4.0% 0.7%
Victoria Pajak 6.6% 9.3% 8.6% 10.4% 11.4% 11.5% 10.5% 9.9% 9.2% 7.9% 4.4% 0.3%
Olivia de Olazarra 24.8% 20.6% 16.0% 12.5% 10.1% 7.1% 3.6% 3.4% 1.4% 0.3% 0.2% 0.0%
Sarah Hardee 2.9% 3.2% 3.1% 4.9% 4.3% 6.0% 7.1% 9.3% 11.6% 17.8% 23.8% 6.0%
Anneliese Carlson 0.3% 0.5% 0.4% 0.6% 0.3% 0.7% 0.8% 2.0% 1.5% 2.8% 6.4% 83.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.