Race 11B

odu-spring-women

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Katherine Bennett 9.0% 8.8% 8.8% 10.5% 10.0% 12.8% 10.4% 9.5% 9.4% 6.2% 4.4% 0.2%
Olivia de Olazarra 23.7% 21.0% 17.0% 12.5% 9.5% 6.8% 4.5% 3.0% 1.0% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0%
Sebby Turner 12.9% 10.9% 13.2% 10.2% 12.9% 10.6% 10.2% 9.1% 5.8% 2.7% 1.5% 0.0%
Bridget Lawless 7.6% 9.7% 10.0% 12.7% 10.0% 10.5% 10.8% 9.9% 7.0% 7.4% 3.6% 0.8%
Morgan Sailer 7.8% 9.4% 8.8% 9.7% 10.3% 10.0% 11.2% 8.5% 9.7% 7.6% 6.4% 0.6%
Sarah Hardee 2.8% 3.6% 3.7% 5.5% 4.7% 5.1% 7.6% 9.5% 11.8% 17.0% 23.4% 5.3%
Liza Toppa 14.6% 14.1% 12.8% 12.2% 11.3% 9.6% 9.1% 7.3% 5.6% 2.2% 1.2% 0.0%
Victoria Pajak 8.6% 9.7% 8.9% 8.0% 10.2% 9.5% 9.5% 10.0% 11.2% 7.9% 5.5% 1.0%
Colleen Baumann 5.1% 5.9% 6.9% 7.8% 9.0% 10.2% 10.4% 12.4% 11.9% 10.5% 9.1% 0.8%
Katie Purcell 4.0% 3.4% 4.8% 4.1% 5.2% 7.3% 6.7% 8.6% 12.4% 18.3% 21.4% 3.8%
Lillian Nemeth 3.6% 3.0% 4.6% 6.4% 6.2% 7.1% 8.6% 11.0% 12.8% 15.1% 18.3% 3.3%
Anneliese Carlson 0.3% 0.5% 0.5% 0.4% 0.7% 0.5% 1.0% 1.2% 1.4% 4.2% 5.1% 84.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.