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📊 Prediction Accuracy

55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Keara Paquette 13.6% 12.7% 13.4% 16.7% 17.7% 15.7% 7.4% 2.6% 0.2%
Oliver Whitehead 2.6% 2.3% 3.5% 4.5% 8.2% 13.4% 31.5% 27.6% 6.4%
Kaelin Stock 22.6% 21.4% 18.0% 17.3% 11.0% 6.7% 2.6% 0.4% 0.0%
Abbie Probst 20.1% 19.6% 20.6% 14.0% 12.8% 8.8% 3.3% 0.8% 0.0%
Stefan Tobler 10.0% 12.1% 12.6% 14.6% 14.4% 18.2% 11.8% 5.6% 0.7%
Graham Shivers 18.7% 19.2% 17.5% 15.3% 14.2% 10.5% 3.8% 0.8% 0.0%
George Koser 1.9% 2.1% 2.3% 3.1% 3.5% 7.7% 21.1% 44.8% 13.5%
Samuel Marcom 10.1% 10.1% 11.4% 13.4% 17.8% 16.9% 14.2% 5.6% 0.5%
Doug Landers 0.4% 0.5% 0.7% 1.1% 0.4% 2.1% 4.3% 11.8% 78.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.