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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Purdue University-0.99+1.68vs Predicted
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2Washington University-0.76+0.37vs Predicted
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3Ohio State University-1.05-0.26vs Predicted
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4Marquette University-1.81-0.37vs Predicted
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5Saginaw Valley State University-3.47+0.35vs Predicted
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6Western Michigan University-2.31-1.76vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.68Purdue University-0.9924.6%1st Place
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2.37Washington University-0.7631.5%1st Place
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2.74Ohio State University-1.0523.9%1st Place
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3.63Marquette University-1.8111.1%1st Place
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5.35Saginaw Valley State University-3.472.4%1st Place
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4.24Western Michigan University-2.316.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Silas Hokanson | 24.6% | 24.4% | 22.4% | 17.6% | 9.4% | 1.6% |
| Alexandra Adams | 31.5% | 28.0% | 20.6% | 12.8% | 6.0% | 1.1% |
| Alexa Hind | 23.9% | 22.6% | 22.4% | 19.9% | 9.3% | 1.9% |
| Matthew Schacht | 11.1% | 13.4% | 18.3% | 24.9% | 23.8% | 8.6% |
| Adam Bryan | 2.4% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 14.9% | 68.9% |
| Kate Heaman | 6.5% | 8.8% | 11.8% | 18.4% | 36.6% | 17.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.