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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University2.12+0.78vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida1.04+1.18vs Predicted
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3Eckerd College0.43+1.13vs Predicted
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4Florida State University-0.75+2.04vs Predicted
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5Rollins College0.23-0.56vs Predicted
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6Palm Beach Atlantic University-1.38+0.79vs Predicted
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7University of Florida0.29-2.59vs Predicted
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8University of Miami-0.29-2.77vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.78Jacksonville University2.120.5%1st Place
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3.18University of South Florida1.040.2%1st Place
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4.13Eckerd College0.430.1%1st Place
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6.04Florida State University-0.750.0%1st Place
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4.44Rollins College0.230.1%1st Place
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6.79Palm Beach Atlantic University-1.380.0%1st Place
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4.41University of Florida0.290.1%1st Place
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5.23University of Miami-0.290.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Kiener | 53.8% | 25.4% | 12.9% | 5.2% | 2.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Runnfeldt | 16.2% | 22.0% | 24.1% | 16.5% | 10.9% | 7.9% | 2.0% | 0.4% |
| Evan Langford | 8.7% | 13.9% | 17.1% | 16.8% | 17.8% | 14.0% | 8.8% | 2.9% |
| William McCarthy | 1.9% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 8.2% | 11.3% | 14.5% | 28.1% | 25.3% |
| Teagan Walsh | 7.5% | 10.5% | 15.0% | 16.4% | 19.4% | 14.4% | 12.8% | 4.0% |
| jacob stanton | 1.5% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 4.3% | 7.7% | 10.9% | 18.7% | 51.6% |
| Nathaniel Keyes | 7.4% | 12.1% | 14.4% | 18.3% | 15.0% | 16.9% | 10.9% | 5.0% |
| Joseph Ricca | 3.0% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 14.3% | 15.7% | 21.0% | 18.6% | 10.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.