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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.89+1.27vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island2.36+1.03vs Predicted
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3Connecticut College1.76+0.94vs Predicted
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4Salve Regina University1.10+0.97vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University2.36-1.95vs Predicted
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6Tufts University0.99-0.99vs Predicted
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7University of New Hampshire0.05-0.63vs Predicted
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8University of New Hampshire-0.99-0.65vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.27Brown University2.890.4%1st Place
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3.03University of Rhode Island2.360.2%1st Place
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3.94Connecticut College1.760.1%1st Place
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4.97Salve Regina University1.100.1%1st Place
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3.05Roger Williams University2.360.2%1st Place
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5.01Tufts University0.990.1%1st Place
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6.37University of New Hampshire0.050.0%1st Place
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7.35University of New Hampshire-0.990.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olivia Belda | 36.6% | 27.4% | 17.5% | 11.6% | 4.7% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Delaney Bamford | 19.4% | 21.7% | 22.7% | 17.6% | 11.2% | 6.0% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Julia Leighton | 10.8% | 13.2% | 15.9% | 18.6% | 21.5% | 13.2% | 6.1% | 0.7% |
| Lucie Ford | 5.3% | 6.7% | 9.1% | 12.9% | 20.4% | 25.6% | 16.1% | 3.9% |
| Kelsey Shakin | 19.6% | 21.9% | 21.0% | 18.2% | 11.7% | 5.7% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Elena Gonick | 5.5% | 5.4% | 9.0% | 14.3% | 20.4% | 24.1% | 16.8% | 4.5% |
| Thomas Bouchard | 2.4% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 8.0% | 18.2% | 37.5% | 23.7% |
| Julianna Bennett | 0.4% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 5.4% | 20.1% | 66.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.