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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University0.99+4.03vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island2.36+1.06vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University2.36+0.04vs Predicted
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4Brown University2.89-1.69vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College1.76-1.07vs Predicted
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6Salve Regina University1.10-1.10vs Predicted
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7University of New Hampshire0.05-0.63vs Predicted
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8University of New Hampshire-0.99-0.64vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.03Tufts University0.990.0%1st Place
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3.06University of Rhode Island2.360.2%1st Place
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3.04Roger Williams University2.360.2%1st Place
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2.31Brown University2.890.4%1st Place
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3.93Connecticut College1.760.1%1st Place
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4.9Salve Regina University1.100.1%1st Place
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6.37University of New Hampshire0.050.0%1st Place
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7.36University of New Hampshire-0.990.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elena Gonick | 4.7% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 12.7% | 19.0% | 25.7% | 17.7% | 4.3% |
| Delaney Bamford | 19.3% | 22.5% | 19.6% | 18.6% | 12.6% | 5.8% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| Kelsey Shakin | 21.1% | 21.2% | 20.7% | 16.7% | 12.6% | 5.7% | 1.9% | 0.1% |
| Olivia Belda | 35.9% | 25.7% | 19.7% | 12.0% | 4.3% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Julia Leighton | 10.1% | 13.3% | 17.7% | 19.1% | 18.8% | 15.3% | 5.0% | 0.7% |
| Lucie Ford | 5.6% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 14.5% | 20.9% | 25.0% | 14.3% | 3.9% |
| Thomas Bouchard | 2.7% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 5.0% | 9.2% | 14.4% | 39.7% | 23.8% |
| Julianna Bennett | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 6.4% | 19.1% | 67.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.