← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.6
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Brown University2.89+1.28vs Predicted
-
2Roger Williams University2.36+1.07vs Predicted
-
3University of Rhode Island2.36+0.02vs Predicted
-
4Connecticut College1.76-0.05vs Predicted
-
5Tufts University0.99+0.08vs Predicted
-
6Salve Regina University1.10-1.14vs Predicted
-
7University of New Hampshire0.05-0.62vs Predicted
-
8University of New Hampshire-0.99-0.64vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.28Brown University2.890.4%1st Place
-
3.07Roger Williams University2.360.2%1st Place
-
3.02University of Rhode Island2.360.2%1st Place
-
3.95Connecticut College1.760.1%1st Place
-
5.08Tufts University0.990.0%1st Place
-
4.86Salve Regina University1.100.1%1st Place
-
6.38University of New Hampshire0.050.0%1st Place
-
7.36University of New Hampshire-0.990.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olivia Belda | 37.1% | 26.4% | 17.9% | 11.1% | 5.4% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Kelsey Shakin | 19.3% | 21.8% | 21.2% | 17.8% | 12.0% | 6.5% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Delaney Bamford | 20.1% | 21.9% | 22.1% | 16.3% | 12.4% | 5.7% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Julia Leighton | 10.2% | 14.4% | 14.8% | 19.6% | 20.9% | 12.8% | 6.5% | 0.8% |
| Elena Gonick | 4.8% | 5.5% | 9.3% | 12.0% | 19.6% | 26.5% | 18.9% | 3.4% |
| Lucie Ford | 5.6% | 6.5% | 10.4% | 15.9% | 18.9% | 24.8% | 13.7% | 4.2% |
| Thomas Bouchard | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 5.1% | 8.3% | 16.3% | 38.5% | 24.1% |
| Julianna Bennett | 0.4% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 5.8% | 19.1% | 67.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.