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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University2.36+1.99vs Predicted
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2Tufts University0.99+3.10vs Predicted
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3Salve Regina University1.10+1.87vs Predicted
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4Connecticut College1.76-0.07vs Predicted
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5University of New Hampshire0.05+1.39vs Predicted
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6Brown University2.89-3.70vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island2.36-3.91vs Predicted
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8University of New Hampshire-0.99-0.66vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.99Roger Williams University2.360.2%1st Place
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5.1Tufts University0.990.0%1st Place
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4.87Salve Regina University1.100.1%1st Place
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3.93Connecticut College1.760.1%1st Place
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6.39University of New Hampshire0.050.0%1st Place
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2.3Brown University2.890.3%1st Place
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3.09University of Rhode Island2.360.2%1st Place
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7.34University of New Hampshire-0.990.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelsey Shakin | 21.9% | 19.7% | 21.9% | 19.2% | 11.1% | 4.3% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Elena Gonick | 4.6% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 11.5% | 20.0% | 26.5% | 17.0% | 5.5% |
| Lucie Ford | 6.1% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 12.7% | 18.9% | 25.5% | 16.2% | 3.1% |
| Julia Leighton | 10.5% | 12.3% | 17.6% | 19.7% | 19.6% | 14.3% | 5.5% | 0.5% |
| Thomas Bouchard | 1.7% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 4.9% | 9.0% | 15.2% | 41.1% | 22.4% |
| Olivia Belda | 34.3% | 28.4% | 18.8% | 11.9% | 4.9% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Delaney Bamford | 20.5% | 20.5% | 20.6% | 17.2% | 12.6% | 7.0% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Julianna Bennett | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 16.9% | 67.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.