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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at San Diego0.80+4.06vs Predicted
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2California Poly Maritime Academy1.33+1.65vs Predicted
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3Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.05+1.43vs Predicted
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4University of California at Davis-0.19+3.87vs Predicted
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5University of California at Berkeley1.57-1.60vs Predicted
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6California State University Channel Islands-0.64+3.25vs Predicted
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7University of California at Berkeley0.37-0.95vs Predicted
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8University of California at Irvine-1.02+2.14vs Predicted
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9University of California at San Diego-0.75+0.51vs Predicted
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10California State University Channel Islands0.15-3.07vs Predicted
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11San Diego State University-0.25-2.93vs Predicted
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12California State University Channel Islands0.15-5.07vs Predicted
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13University of California at Irvine-0.71-3.63vs Predicted
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14University of California at San Diego-1.03-3.87vs Predicted
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15California State University Channel Islands-0.64-5.75vs Predicted
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16University of California at Davis-1.43-4.86vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.06University of California at San Diego0.800.1%1st Place
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3.65California Poly Maritime Academy1.330.2%1st Place
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4.43Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.050.1%1st Place
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7.87University of California at Davis-0.190.0%1st Place
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3.4University of California at Berkeley1.570.2%1st Place
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9.25California State University Channel Islands-0.640.0%1st Place
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6.05University of California at Berkeley0.370.1%1st Place
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10.14University of California at Irvine-1.020.0%1st Place
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9.51University of California at San Diego-0.750.0%1st Place
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6.93California State University Channel Islands0.150.0%1st Place
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8.07San Diego State University-0.250.0%1st Place
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6.93California State University Channel Islands0.150.0%1st Place
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9.37University of California at Irvine-0.710.0%1st Place
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10.13University of California at San Diego-1.030.0%1st Place
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9.25California State University Channel Islands-0.640.0%1st Place
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11.14University of California at Davis-1.430.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erika Barth | 11.0% | 12.7% | 12.1% | 10.7% | 12.2% | 11.2% | 9.7% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Storm Brown | 21.8% | 16.2% | 15.2% | 16.1% | 10.3% | 8.1% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kai Ponting | 14.7% | 12.9% | 14.7% | 12.5% | 12.6% | 10.3% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Letchinger | 2.7% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 10.3% | 8.2% | 11.0% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 5.1% | 2.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicolai Sponholtz | 19.9% | 22.2% | 17.0% | 14.5% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Laura Jones | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 9.0% | 11.3% | 8.6% | 11.2% | 12.4% | 10.7% | 9.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Josefina Ruggieri | 8.1% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 11.7% | 10.4% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jesse Campbell | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 10.4% | 12.8% | 14.9% | 18.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Vick | 3.0% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 12.6% | 12.2% | 12.1% | 11.8% | 9.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Clements | 4.7% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 12.1% | 11.5% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gillian Dean | 4.3% | 2.4% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 10.3% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 3.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Clements | 4.7% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 12.1% | 11.5% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Parker Kulavic | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 11.3% | 11.2% | 9.5% | 12.4% | 11.0% | 9.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| McKenna Roonan | 2.2% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 10.0% | 12.4% | 11.2% | 16.5% | 15.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Laura Jones | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 9.0% | 11.3% | 8.6% | 11.2% | 12.4% | 10.7% | 9.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Anthony El-Sokkary | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 12.4% | 17.9% | 29.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.