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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1California State University Channel Islands-0.64+8.06vs Predicted
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2California Poly Maritime Academy1.33+1.67vs Predicted
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3University of California at Berkeley1.57+0.25vs Predicted
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4Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.05+0.42vs Predicted
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5University of California at San Diego0.80+0.14vs Predicted
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6University of California at Irvine-0.71+3.49vs Predicted
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7University of California at Davis-0.19+0.64vs Predicted
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8University of California at San Diego-1.03+2.15vs Predicted
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9California State University Channel Islands0.15-2.08vs Predicted
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10San Diego State University-0.25-1.87vs Predicted
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11University of California at Berkeley0.37-4.67vs Predicted
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12California State University Channel Islands0.15-5.08vs Predicted
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13University of California at Irvine-1.02-2.76vs Predicted
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14University of California at San Diego-0.75-4.58vs Predicted
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15California State University Channel Islands-0.64-5.94vs Predicted
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16University of California at Davis-1.43-4.86vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.06California State University Channel Islands-0.640.0%1st Place
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3.67California Poly Maritime Academy1.330.2%1st Place
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3.25University of California at Berkeley1.570.3%1st Place
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4.42Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.050.1%1st Place
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5.14University of California at San Diego0.800.1%1st Place
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9.49University of California at Irvine-0.710.0%1st Place
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7.64University of California at Davis-0.190.0%1st Place
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10.15University of California at San Diego-1.030.0%1st Place
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6.92California State University Channel Islands0.150.1%1st Place
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8.13San Diego State University-0.250.0%1st Place
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6.33University of California at Berkeley0.370.1%1st Place
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6.92California State University Channel Islands0.150.1%1st Place
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10.24University of California at Irvine-1.020.0%1st Place
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9.42University of California at San Diego-0.750.0%1st Place
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9.06California State University Channel Islands-0.640.0%1st Place
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11.14University of California at Davis-1.430.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Laura Jones | 2.8% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 12.2% | 11.5% | 10.1% | 8.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Storm Brown | 20.5% | 17.9% | 15.7% | 13.6% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 6.0% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicolai Sponholtz | 25.5% | 20.7% | 15.7% | 11.9% | 10.4% | 7.5% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kai Ponting | 13.4% | 14.3% | 14.8% | 13.4% | 12.3% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Erika Barth | 8.6% | 12.0% | 12.0% | 12.8% | 12.6% | 12.4% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Parker Kulavic | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 5.8% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 10.5% | 11.5% | 10.8% | 12.5% | 10.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Letchinger | 3.5% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 2.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| McKenna Roonan | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 13.4% | 15.8% | 17.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Clements | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 11.3% | 12.2% | 10.5% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gillian Dean | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 11.2% | 10.0% | 9.7% | 5.6% | 3.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Josefina Ruggieri | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 10.8% | 9.1% | 10.2% | 10.8% | 11.1% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Clements | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 11.3% | 12.2% | 10.5% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jesse Campbell | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 12.6% | 13.8% | 14.6% | 16.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Vick | 2.9% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 10.4% | 11.0% | 10.5% | 11.9% | 13.7% | 9.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Laura Jones | 2.8% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 12.2% | 11.5% | 10.1% | 8.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Anthony El-Sokkary | 0.9% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 10.9% | 17.6% | 30.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.