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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1California Poly Maritime Academy1.33+2.73vs Predicted
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2University of California at Berkeley1.57+1.19vs Predicted
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3University of California at Berkeley0.37+3.19vs Predicted
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4San Diego State University-0.25+4.05vs Predicted
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5University of California at San Diego0.80+0.19vs Predicted
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6California State University Channel Islands-0.64+3.26vs Predicted
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7Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.05-2.72vs Predicted
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8University of California at Irvine-1.02+2.09vs Predicted
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9University of California at San Diego-0.75+0.52vs Predicted
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10University of California at Irvine-0.71-0.52vs Predicted
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11California State University Channel Islands0.15-4.07vs Predicted
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12California State University Channel Islands-0.64-2.74vs Predicted
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13California State University Channel Islands0.15-6.07vs Predicted
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14University of California at Davis-1.43-2.77vs Predicted
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15University of California at Davis-0.19-7.24vs Predicted
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16University of California at San Diego-1.03-5.89vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.73California Poly Maritime Academy1.330.2%1st Place
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3.19University of California at Berkeley1.570.2%1st Place
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6.19University of California at Berkeley0.370.1%1st Place
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8.05San Diego State University-0.250.0%1st Place
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5.19University of California at San Diego0.800.1%1st Place
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9.26California State University Channel Islands-0.640.0%1st Place
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4.28Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.050.2%1st Place
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10.09University of California at Irvine-1.020.0%1st Place
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9.52University of California at San Diego-0.750.0%1st Place
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9.48University of California at Irvine-0.710.0%1st Place
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6.93California State University Channel Islands0.150.1%1st Place
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9.26California State University Channel Islands-0.640.0%1st Place
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6.93California State University Channel Islands0.150.1%1st Place
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11.23University of California at Davis-1.430.0%1st Place
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7.76University of California at Davis-0.190.0%1st Place
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10.11University of California at San Diego-1.030.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Storm Brown | 19.2% | 20.1% | 16.3% | 10.7% | 11.8% | 8.1% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicolai Sponholtz | 24.8% | 20.6% | 19.0% | 12.2% | 9.1% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Josefina Ruggieri | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 10.3% | 10.8% | 10.8% | 10.1% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gillian Dean | 2.5% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 10.9% | 11.2% | 9.9% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 5.5% | 3.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Erika Barth | 8.9% | 10.4% | 12.6% | 12.6% | 13.2% | 10.9% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Laura Jones | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 10.8% | 9.5% | 10.6% | 11.9% | 10.9% | 9.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kai Ponting | 16.0% | 14.5% | 12.1% | 15.5% | 11.8% | 10.4% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jesse Campbell | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 11.0% | 12.1% | 16.0% | 16.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Vick | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 8.0% | 10.0% | 11.4% | 11.7% | 12.1% | 12.7% | 9.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Parker Kulavic | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 8.8% | 10.6% | 10.1% | 13.1% | 12.8% | 9.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Clements | 5.0% | 5.4% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 10.9% | 11.1% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 1.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Laura Jones | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 10.8% | 9.5% | 10.6% | 11.9% | 10.9% | 9.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Clements | 5.0% | 5.4% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 10.9% | 11.1% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 1.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Anthony El-Sokkary | 0.6% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 13.2% | 16.3% | 30.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Letchinger | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 10.7% | 9.5% | 9.7% | 10.4% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 2.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| McKenna Roonan | 1.5% | 1.4% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 10.5% | 14.9% | 14.7% | 15.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.