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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at San Diego0.80+4.00vs Predicted
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2University of California at Berkeley1.57+1.23vs Predicted
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3California Poly Maritime Academy1.33+0.75vs Predicted
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4California State University Channel Islands-0.64+5.20vs Predicted
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5University of California at Berkeley0.37+1.36vs Predicted
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6University of California at San Diego-0.75+3.61vs Predicted
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7California State University Channel Islands0.15-0.39vs Predicted
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8University of California at Irvine-1.02+2.10vs Predicted
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9San Diego State University-0.25-0.96vs Predicted
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10University of California at Davis-0.19-2.11vs Predicted
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11California State University Channel Islands-0.64-1.80vs Predicted
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12University of California at Irvine-0.71-2.59vs Predicted
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13Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.05-8.50vs Predicted
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14California State University Channel Islands0.15-7.39vs Predicted
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15University of California at San Diego-1.03-4.89vs Predicted
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16University of California at Davis-1.43-4.83vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.0University of California at San Diego0.800.1%1st Place
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3.23University of California at Berkeley1.570.2%1st Place
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3.75California Poly Maritime Academy1.330.2%1st Place
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9.2California State University Channel Islands-0.640.0%1st Place
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6.36University of California at Berkeley0.370.1%1st Place
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9.61University of California at San Diego-0.750.0%1st Place
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6.61California State University Channel Islands0.150.1%1st Place
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10.1University of California at Irvine-1.020.0%1st Place
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8.04San Diego State University-0.250.0%1st Place
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7.89University of California at Davis-0.190.0%1st Place
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9.2California State University Channel Islands-0.640.0%1st Place
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9.41University of California at Irvine-0.710.0%1st Place
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4.5Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.050.1%1st Place
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6.61California State University Channel Islands0.150.1%1st Place
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10.11University of California at San Diego-1.030.0%1st Place
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11.17University of California at Davis-1.430.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erika Barth | 11.2% | 12.0% | 12.5% | 13.6% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 8.0% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicolai Sponholtz | 24.2% | 21.1% | 17.2% | 13.6% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Storm Brown | 18.7% | 18.8% | 15.2% | 13.5% | 11.6% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Laura Jones | 1.9% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 11.8% | 12.7% | 10.7% | 8.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Josefina Ruggieri | 5.4% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 12.4% | 9.5% | 10.1% | 10.3% | 9.7% | 7.0% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Vick | 1.9% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 10.7% | 12.4% | 9.7% | 13.8% | 11.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Clements | 6.8% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 10.4% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jesse Campbell | 1.8% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 10.7% | 12.1% | 15.0% | 18.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gillian Dean | 4.7% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 11.5% | 12.0% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 5.9% | 2.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Letchinger | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 10.3% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 10.7% | 10.3% | 10.7% | 9.6% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Laura Jones | 1.9% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 11.8% | 12.7% | 10.7% | 8.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Parker Kulavic | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 12.0% | 12.6% | 11.5% | 9.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kai Ponting | 13.9% | 11.6% | 15.8% | 14.8% | 11.3% | 11.3% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Clements | 6.8% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 10.4% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| McKenna Roonan | 2.6% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 10.0% | 11.3% | 11.6% | 16.6% | 15.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Anthony El-Sokkary | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 11.6% | 18.1% | 30.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.