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📊 Prediction Accuracy
43.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1California Poly Maritime Academy1.33+2.78vs Predicted
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2University of California at Berkeley1.57+1.21vs Predicted
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3California State University Channel Islands-0.64+6.15vs Predicted
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4University of California at San Diego0.80+1.09vs Predicted
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5Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.05-0.45vs Predicted
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6San Diego State University-0.25+2.13vs Predicted
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7University of California at San Diego-0.75+2.18vs Predicted
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8University of California at Berkeley0.37-1.81vs Predicted
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9University of California at Irvine-0.71+0.40vs Predicted
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10University of California at Davis-0.19-2.08vs Predicted
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11California State University Channel Islands-0.64-1.85vs Predicted
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12University of California at Irvine-1.02-1.71vs Predicted
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13California State University Channel Islands0.15-6.16vs Predicted
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14University of California at San Diego-1.03-3.86vs Predicted
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15California State University Channel Islands0.15-8.16vs Predicted
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16University of California at Davis-1.43-4.88vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.78California Poly Maritime Academy1.330.2%1st Place
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3.21University of California at Berkeley1.570.3%1st Place
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9.15California State University Channel Islands-0.640.0%1st Place
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5.09University of California at San Diego0.800.1%1st Place
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4.55Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.050.1%1st Place
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8.13San Diego State University-0.250.0%1st Place
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9.18University of California at San Diego-0.750.0%1st Place
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6.19University of California at Berkeley0.370.1%1st Place
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9.4University of California at Irvine-0.710.0%1st Place
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7.92University of California at Davis-0.190.0%1st Place
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9.15California State University Channel Islands-0.640.0%1st Place
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10.29University of California at Irvine-1.020.0%1st Place
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6.84California State University Channel Islands0.150.1%1st Place
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10.14University of California at San Diego-1.030.0%1st Place
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6.84California State University Channel Islands0.150.1%1st Place
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11.12University of California at Davis-1.430.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Storm Brown | 18.3% | 20.5% | 14.7% | 12.7% | 10.5% | 9.3% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicolai Sponholtz | 25.8% | 20.9% | 15.1% | 14.1% | 9.6% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Laura Jones | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 10.9% | 10.7% | 12.4% | 11.8% | 8.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Erika Barth | 9.7% | 10.0% | 14.4% | 13.1% | 11.1% | 11.8% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kai Ponting | 12.3% | 12.9% | 15.1% | 14.9% | 12.1% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gillian Dean | 3.6% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 10.5% | 10.8% | 9.3% | 10.3% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 3.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Vick | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 11.1% | 11.6% | 12.0% | 9.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Josefina Ruggieri | 7.9% | 7.6% | 10.2% | 7.5% | 11.3% | 9.5% | 10.1% | 10.1% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Parker Kulavic | 3.0% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 10.2% | 12.3% | 11.0% | 12.0% | 11.6% | 9.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Letchinger | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 10.5% | 9.0% | 11.3% | 8.5% | 5.4% | 2.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Laura Jones | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 10.9% | 10.7% | 12.4% | 11.8% | 8.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jesse Campbell | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 9.5% | 10.8% | 12.8% | 14.9% | 18.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Clements | 5.1% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 11.9% | 10.7% | 10.4% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| McKenna Roonan | 2.3% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 10.1% | 11.7% | 12.1% | 16.1% | 15.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Clements | 5.1% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 11.9% | 10.7% | 10.4% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Anthony El-Sokkary | 1.0% | 0.9% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 12.3% | 15.9% | 31.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.