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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1California Poly Maritime Academy1.33+2.77vs Predicted
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2University of California at San Diego0.80+2.88vs Predicted
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3Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.05+1.41vs Predicted
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4University of California at Irvine-1.02+6.17vs Predicted
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5University of California at Berkeley1.57-1.59vs Predicted
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6University of California at Davis-0.19+2.01vs Predicted
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7San Diego State University-0.25+0.76vs Predicted
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8University of California at Irvine-0.71+1.29vs Predicted
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9University of California at San Diego-1.03+1.31vs Predicted
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10California State University Channel Islands0.15-3.09vs Predicted
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11University of California at Berkeley0.37-4.67vs Predicted
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12University of California at San Diego-0.75-2.49vs Predicted
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13California State University Channel Islands-0.64-3.87vs Predicted
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14California State University Channel Islands0.15-7.09vs Predicted
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15University of California at Davis-1.43-3.89vs Predicted
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16California State University Channel Islands-0.64-6.87vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.77California Poly Maritime Academy1.330.2%1st Place
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4.88University of California at San Diego0.800.1%1st Place
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4.41Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.050.1%1st Place
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10.17University of California at Irvine-1.020.0%1st Place
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3.41University of California at Berkeley1.570.2%1st Place
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8.01University of California at Davis-0.190.0%1st Place
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7.76San Diego State University-0.250.0%1st Place
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9.29University of California at Irvine-0.710.0%1st Place
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10.31University of California at San Diego-1.030.0%1st Place
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6.91California State University Channel Islands0.150.0%1st Place
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6.33University of California at Berkeley0.370.1%1st Place
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9.51University of California at San Diego-0.750.0%1st Place
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9.13California State University Channel Islands-0.640.0%1st Place
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6.91California State University Channel Islands0.150.0%1st Place
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11.11University of California at Davis-1.430.0%1st Place
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9.13California State University Channel Islands-0.640.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Storm Brown | 19.5% | 17.3% | 18.0% | 11.4% | 10.4% | 9.7% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Erika Barth | 11.8% | 13.2% | 10.3% | 14.0% | 11.3% | 12.2% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kai Ponting | 14.3% | 14.0% | 13.4% | 13.3% | 14.6% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jesse Campbell | 1.3% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 9.7% | 10.4% | 11.2% | 17.4% | 16.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicolai Sponholtz | 20.9% | 20.5% | 18.0% | 13.2% | 10.5% | 7.2% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Letchinger | 4.2% | 3.5% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 10.1% | 10.1% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gillian Dean | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 10.6% | 9.4% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Parker Kulavic | 3.2% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 10.4% | 10.4% | 11.8% | 11.1% | 10.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| McKenna Roonan | 2.4% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 9.4% | 12.5% | 15.0% | 14.7% | 16.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Clements | 4.8% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 11.0% | 11.3% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Josefina Ruggieri | 7.4% | 6.0% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 11.6% | 9.2% | 11.0% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Vick | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 9.2% | 12.4% | 11.5% | 11.4% | 11.6% | 10.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Laura Jones | 2.7% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 10.6% | 11.1% | 10.2% | 11.6% | 10.9% | 8.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Clements | 4.8% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 11.0% | 11.3% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Anthony El-Sokkary | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 8.3% | 12.3% | 18.6% | 28.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Laura Jones | 2.7% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 10.6% | 11.1% | 10.2% | 11.6% | 10.9% | 8.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.