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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1California Poly Maritime Academy1.33+2.77vs Predicted
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2California State University Channel Islands-0.64+6.96vs Predicted
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3University of California at Berkeley1.57+0.25vs Predicted
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4Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.05+0.40vs Predicted
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5University of California at Davis-0.19+2.96vs Predicted
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6University of California at San Diego0.80-0.85vs Predicted
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7San Diego State University-0.25+0.78vs Predicted
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8University of California at Berkeley0.37-1.78vs Predicted
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9California State University Channel Islands0.15-2.08vs Predicted
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10University of California at Irvine-1.02+0.34vs Predicted
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11California State University Channel Islands-0.64-2.04vs Predicted
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12University of California at San Diego-0.75-2.44vs Predicted
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13University of California at San Diego-1.03-2.74vs Predicted
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14University of California at Irvine-0.71-4.71vs Predicted
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15California State University Channel Islands0.15-8.08vs Predicted
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16University of California at Davis-1.43-4.86vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.77California Poly Maritime Academy1.330.2%1st Place
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8.96California State University Channel Islands-0.640.0%1st Place
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3.25University of California at Berkeley1.570.3%1st Place
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4.4Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.050.1%1st Place
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7.96University of California at Davis-0.190.0%1st Place
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5.15University of California at San Diego0.800.1%1st Place
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7.78San Diego State University-0.250.0%1st Place
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6.22University of California at Berkeley0.370.1%1st Place
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6.92California State University Channel Islands0.150.1%1st Place
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10.34University of California at Irvine-1.020.0%1st Place
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8.96California State University Channel Islands-0.640.0%1st Place
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9.56University of California at San Diego-0.750.0%1st Place
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10.26University of California at San Diego-1.030.0%1st Place
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9.29University of California at Irvine-0.710.0%1st Place
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6.92California State University Channel Islands0.150.1%1st Place
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11.14University of California at Davis-1.430.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Storm Brown | 18.7% | 19.8% | 15.4% | 12.1% | 12.1% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Laura Jones | 2.8% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 11.2% | 12.1% | 9.7% | 7.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicolai Sponholtz | 25.4% | 19.9% | 15.6% | 13.2% | 10.9% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kai Ponting | 13.6% | 14.5% | 14.4% | 13.8% | 11.4% | 11.1% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Letchinger | 3.2% | 3.7% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 10.8% | 10.2% | 10.1% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 2.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Erika Barth | 10.0% | 10.6% | 11.9% | 13.4% | 12.2% | 10.0% | 9.7% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gillian Dean | 4.2% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 11.2% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 2.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Josefina Ruggieri | 7.8% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 9.9% | 10.9% | 9.7% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Clements | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 11.0% | 11.6% | 9.3% | 11.2% | 8.3% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jesse Campbell | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 9.9% | 10.3% | 13.2% | 15.2% | 18.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Laura Jones | 2.8% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 11.2% | 12.1% | 9.7% | 7.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Vick | 1.9% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 9.5% | 13.4% | 13.3% | 11.4% | 11.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| McKenna Roonan | 1.1% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 9.8% | 12.0% | 12.1% | 14.0% | 18.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Parker Kulavic | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 8.1% | 9.9% | 10.0% | 11.3% | 11.9% | 12.3% | 8.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Clements | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 11.0% | 11.6% | 9.3% | 11.2% | 8.3% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Anthony El-Sokkary | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 11.0% | 20.0% | 29.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.