← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1California Poly Maritime Academy2.08+1.15vs Predicted
-
2University of California at Berkeley0.50+2.75vs Predicted
-
3University of California at San Diego-0.60+4.68vs Predicted
-
4University of California at Berkeley-0.24+2.75vs Predicted
-
5California State University Channel Islands-0.97+3.84vs Predicted
-
6University of California at San Diego-1.21+3.56vs Predicted
-
7University of California at Irvine-0.36-0.18vs Predicted
-
8University of California at San Diego1.45-4.97vs Predicted
-
9San Diego State University-0.46-1.57vs Predicted
-
10University of California at Irvine-1.59+0.55vs Predicted
-
11California State University Channel Islands-0.97-2.16vs Predicted
-
12University of California at Davis0.13-6.18vs Predicted
-
13Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.35-3.12vs Predicted
-
14University of California at Davis-1.76-3.17vs Predicted
-
15California State University Channel Islands-1.81-4.08vs Predicted
-
16California State University Channel Islands-1.81-5.08vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.15California Poly Maritime Academy2.080.4%1st Place
-
4.75University of California at Berkeley0.500.1%1st Place
-
7.68University of California at San Diego-0.600.0%1st Place
-
6.75University of California at Berkeley-0.240.0%1st Place
-
8.84California State University Channel Islands-0.970.0%1st Place
-
9.56University of California at San Diego-1.210.0%1st Place
-
6.82University of California at Irvine-0.360.0%1st Place
-
3.03University of California at San Diego1.450.2%1st Place
-
7.43San Diego State University-0.460.0%1st Place
-
10.55University of California at Irvine-1.590.0%1st Place
-
8.84California State University Channel Islands-0.970.0%1st Place
-
5.82University of California at Davis0.130.1%1st Place
-
9.88Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.350.0%1st Place
-
10.83University of California at Davis-1.760.0%1st Place
-
10.92California State University Channel Islands-1.810.0%1st Place
-
10.92California State University Channel Islands-1.810.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacob Fisker-Andersen | 42.9% | 25.9% | 15.7% | 9.2% | 3.7% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Augustus Doricko | 7.6% | 14.1% | 14.1% | 14.1% | 14.5% | 11.7% | 10.2% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Marie-Laure Golier | 3.3% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 11.7% | 10.4% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 1.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Luc LaMontagne | 2.6% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 13.3% | 10.7% | 11.0% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Gates | 1.8% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 10.8% | 12.0% | 10.7% | 8.6% | 6.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Warren Ko | 1.0% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 11.3% | 8.1% | 13.1% | 11.8% | 12.7% | 9.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Trevor Tuck | 4.2% | 5.1% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 12.6% | 10.3% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Dorn | 22.9% | 21.9% | 20.6% | 15.4% | 8.7% | 6.0% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adam Wild | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 11.5% | 11.2% | 9.9% | 10.7% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Myers | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 9.7% | 10.5% | 14.0% | 15.2% | 19.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Gates | 1.8% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 10.8% | 12.0% | 10.7% | 8.6% | 6.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jayden Potter | 5.8% | 8.1% | 10.4% | 11.1% | 14.2% | 10.1% | 11.7% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sebastien Danthinne | 1.1% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 11.3% | 11.4% | 12.7% | 12.4% | 13.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Grace Chitouras | 1.5% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 11.1% | 12.5% | 17.7% | 23.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Feito | 0.5% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 13.2% | 20.2% | 23.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Feito | 0.5% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 13.2% | 20.2% | 23.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.